Hurricane Philippe Forecast Verification
Written by Derek Ortt on March 11, 2006

Due to an extensive focus on Hurricane Rita due to its threat to the Miami area and obligations to focus on that hurricane for the RAINEX experiment, only three forecasts were issued on Hurricane Philippe. All intensity forecasts had very large errors at the longer time periods, as the shearing caused by Hurricane Rita was not well forecast. The track forecast errors were above average, though mainly due to the first forecast which had very large errors, and incorrectly indicated a threat to the Lesser Antilles. Subsequent forecasts were much better.

For synoptic history, please view the National Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Report on Hurricane Philippe.

Click here for individual forecast error statistics.

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