Tropical Storm Otto Forecast Verification
Written be Derek Ortt on April 16, 2005

The few verifiable forecasts for Otto had errors well above the long-term average, except for the 12-hour time period for the track forecasts, with below average errors for the intensity forecasts. The reason for the large track forecast error was the fact that the forecasts indicated a motion to the east, when it drifted slowly to the south.

Otto was never forecast to intensify after becoming a tropical storm. Forecasts indicated a slow weakening, though the system did weaken to a remnant low somewhat faster than was indicated by the forecasts.

For synoptic history, please see the National Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Report

Click here for the forecast error statistics

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