8 A.M. PDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E UPDATE #1
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Residents of the west coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this developing cyclone.
Currently, the center of Tropical Depression 15-E is located near 12.1N and 99.6W. This places the center about 1000 miles SE of Cabo San Lucas. The motion is to the WNW near 10 m.p.h. A gradual turn to the NNW is expected during the next few days, bringing the system close to the west coast of Mexico.
Maximum winds are near 35 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1006mb. Further slow intensification is expected and this system could become a tropical storm later today.
Next Update: 8 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
2 P.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM OLAF SPECIAL UPDATE #2
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Ships reports indicate that Tropical Depression 15-E has intensified into a tropical storm; therefore, this special update is being issued.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Olaf is located near 12.8N and 99.8W. This places the center well away from any land areas. There is little current motion though a track to the NW is expected, possibly to the NNW, bringing the system close to the Mexican coast in a few days.
Maximum winds are near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1000mb. Little change in intensity is expected as the system is in a sheared state.
Next Update: 8 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
8 P.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM OLAF UPDATE #3
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Residents of the west coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Olaf
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Olaf is located near 13.2N and 100.0W. This places the center well away from land at this time. The motion is to the NNW near 5 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, bringing Olaf close to the west coast of Mexico during the next few days.
Maximum winds are near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1000mb. Little change in intensity is expected as the system is in a sheared state.
Next Update: 8 A.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
8 A.M. PDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM OLAF UPDATE #4
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Residents of the west coast of Mexico should be monitoring the progress of Olaf very closely over the next few days.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Olaf is located near 14.4N and 101.1W. This places the center about 300 miles SW of Acapulco, Mexico. The motion is to the NW near 10 m.p.h. This general track is expected, with a possible turn to the NNW over the next few days, bringing the system close to the west coast of Mexico.
Maximum winds have increased to near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 994mb. Continued intensification is expected and Olaf could become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.
Next Update: 8 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
8 P.M. PDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM OLAF UPDATE #5
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Residents of the west coast of Mexico and the Baja Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of Olaf as it is expected to threaten the area in the upcoming days.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Olaf is located near 15.9N and 104.0W. This places the center about 550 miles SE of Cabo San Lucas. The motion is to the WNW near 14 m.p.h. A turn more to the north, with a slowdown is expected in the upcoming days, bringing the system close to the west coast of Mexico.
Maximum winds are near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 994mb. Slow intensification is expected and Olaf should become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.
Next Update: 8 A.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
8 A.M. PDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM OLAF UPDATE #6
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Residents of the west coast of Mexico and the Baja Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of Olaf as it is expected to threaten the area in the upcoming days.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Olaf is located near 17.0N and 104.3W. This places the center about 500 miles SE of Cabo San Lucas. The motion is to the NW near 10 m.p.h. This general track is expected to continue, bringing the system near Cabo San Lucas in a few days.
Maximum winds are near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 994mb. Slow intensification is expected and Olaf should become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.
Next Update: 2 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
8 A.M. PDT 10/5/2003 HURRICANE OLAF UPDATE #5 (REISSUED)
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
This update is being re-issued to indicated that the government of Mexico has issued Hurricane Warnings and to upgrade the storm to a hurricane.
NWHHC does not currently recommend any watches or warnings, but will do so this afternoon. The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane WARNING from Punta San Telmo to San Blas. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.
Residents of the Baja Peninsula should monitor the progress of Olaf very closely as it is expected to threaten the area in a few days.
Currently, the center of Hurricane Olaf is located near 17.1N and 104.3W. This places the center about 145 miles south of Manzinillo, Mexico. The motion is to the NW near 10 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, keeping the system offshore until it nears Cabo San Lucas in a few days.
Maximum winds are near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 988mb. Recon may investigate later today. Some further intensification is possible during the next couple of days.
Next Update: 2 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
2 P.M. PDT 10/5/2003 HURRICANE OLAF UPDATE #6
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Two tropical cyclones are heading toward the Baja Peninsula, Nora and Olaf. Residents should begin making any storm preparations as directed by local emergency management officials and not make any disticntion between the two. A tropical cyclone is a tropical cyclone and either or both may affect your area in a couple of days.
NWHHC recommends a Hurricane Watch for the Baja Peninsula south of 27N. This is tp include areas expected to be affected by both Olaf and Nora. Please refer to local emergency management officials for official watches and warnings.
Currently, the center of Hurricane Nora is located near 18.3N and 105.5W. This places the center about 150 miles SW of Manzinillo, Mexico. The motion is to the NW near 12 m.p.h., and this track should conitnue for the next few days, bringing the system inland over Baja.
Maximum winds remain near 75 m.p.h. The rpessure is estimated to be 988mb. Recon will soon investigate. Some increase in intensity is expected voer the next few days.
Next Update: 8 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
8 P.M. PDT 10/5/2003 HURRICANE OLAF UPDATE #7
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Two tropical cyclones are heading toward the Baja Peninsula, Nora and Olaf. Residents should begin making any storm preparations as directed by local emergency management officials and not make any disticntion between the two. A tropical cyclone is a tropical cyclone and either or both may affect your area in a couple of days.
NWHHC recommends a Hurricane Watch for the Baja Peninsula south of 27N. This is tp include areas expected to be affected by both Olaf and Nora. Please refer to local emergency management officials for official watches and warnings.
Currently, the center of Hurricane Nora is located near 17.8N and 105.5W. This places the center about 180 miles SW of Manzinillo, Mexico. The motion is to the NW near 12 m.p.h., and this track should conitnue for the next few days, bringing the system inland over Baja. The center has been relocated to the south.
Maximum winds remain near 75 m.p.h. The rpessure is estimated to be 992mb. Some increase in intensity is expected over the next few days.
Next Update: 8 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
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