7 P.M. CDT 10/1/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #1

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Recon finds that the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche has acquirred tropical characteristics and is now Tropical Storm Larry. Therefore, updates are now being issued.

Residents of the entire Gulf of Mexico need to closely monitor the progress of Larry and the track forecast confidence is very low.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.9N and 93.5W. This places the center about 300 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. There is little current motion and Larry is expected to drift around the area for the next few days. However, this is with little confidence and is subject to change.

Maximum winds are near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 1004mb. Slow further intensification is expected over the next few days and if Larry remains over the Gulf for the next few days, Larry is expected to become a hurricane.

Next Update: 10 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 P.M. CDT 10/1/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #2

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is moving little in the Bay of Campeche. All residents of the Gulf Coast need to closely monitor the progress of this system. Larry is already bringing rains to Mexico.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.8N and 93.5W. This places the center about 300 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. There is little current motion and only a slow NW drift is expected. This forecast is subject to large error and has less confidence than usual; therefore, all residents of the Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of Larry.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 1003mb. Slow intensification is expected over the upcoming days and if Larry does not move inland, it is expected to reach hurricane intensity.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

6 A.M. CDT 10/2/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #2

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is moving little in the Bay of Campeche. All residents of the Gulf Coast need to closely monitor the progress of this system. Larry is already bringing rains to Mexico.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 1003mb. Slow intensification is expected over the upcoming days and if Larry does not move inland, it is expected to reach hurricane intensity.

Next Update: 10 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 A.M. CDT 10/2/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #4

This is an independent product and not form the National Hurricane Center

Larry is disorganized in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Residents of the entire Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system as the track forecast remains very uncertain.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.5N and 93.5W. This places the center about 325 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. There is little current motion and none is expected during the next day or so.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1004mb. Little change in intensity is expected during the next few days, though if the system remains over the water long enough, it still has the potential to become a hurricane.

Next Update: 4 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

4 P.M. CDT 10/2/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #5

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Despite this morning's poor satellite appearance, Larry has intensified significantly and is nearing hurricane intensity. All residents of the Gulf of Mexico need to continue to monitor the progress of Larry

NWHHC now recommends Hurricane Watch from Merida, Mexico through Veracruz, Mexico. Please refer to statements from local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.5N and 93.7W. This places the center about 315 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. There continued to be little motion and no significant motion is expected during the next few days. However, any drift to the south or west would bring the system very close to the recommended watch area.

Maximum winds have increased to near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is 995mb. Some further increase in intensity is possible and Larry could become a hurricane within the next 24 hours as conditions appear to be favorable for development in the region.

Next Update: 7 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 P.M. CDT 10/2/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #6

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues to slowly organize in the Bay of Capmeche and may become a hurricane within the next 24 hours as it moves slowly. All residents of the Gulf of Mexico, especially the Bay of Capmeche should be monitoring the progress of Larry closely and residents of the Bay of Campeche should be making any storm preparations that are advised by local emergency management officials.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Merida to Veracruz, Mexico. The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check the official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.5N and 94.0W. This places the center about 290 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. The motion is a westward drift and little current motion is expected during the next few days. Larry may remain in the Gulf of Mexico for the next several days.

Maximum winds remain near 65 m.p.h. The pressure has fallen to 993mb. Continued slow development is expected and Larry could become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.

Next Update: 10 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 P.M. CDT 10/2/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #7

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry begins a slow westerly drift toward the west coast of the Bay of Campeche. However, this track remains subject to change. Therefore, all residents of the Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Larry and residents of the Bay of Campeche should be making all storm preparations that are advised by local emergency management officials.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch from Merida to Poza Rica, Mexico. The Mexican Government has a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.5N and 94.2W. This places the center about 275 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. The motion is to the west near 3 m.p.h. A very slow westerly drift is expected over the next few days, though any landfall point remains uncertain due to the uncertainty in the track forecast.

Maximum winds remain near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is 994mb. Some slow intensification is expected over the next few days and Larry could become a hurricane within the next 24 hours.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 A.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #9

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is a bit weaker this morning as it remains in the Bay of Campeche. The track forecast remains uncertain; therefore, all residents of the Gulf of Mexico need to conitnue to monitor the progress of Larry. Residents of the Bay of Campeche need to conitnue making all storm preparations thata re advised by local emergency management officials.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane watch from Merida to Poza Rica, Mexico and the Mexican government has a Hurricane watch and a Tropical Storm Warning in effect from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm larry is located near 20.1N and 94.5W. This places the center about 280 miles ESE of Tampico, Mexico. There is little current motion and none is expected over the next few days; however, only a slight deviation from the forecast track could bring the center inland.

Maximum winds have decreased to near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 997mb. Little change in intensity is expected over the next couple of days, followed by slow intensification to near hurricane intensity.

Next Update: 1 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

1 P.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #10

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues in the Bay of Campeche with little change in intensity. All residents of the Gulf of Mexico should be monitoring the progress of Larry very closely and all residents of the bay of Campeche should be making any storm preparations that are advised by local emergency management officials.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Merida to Poza Rica, Mexico. The government of Mexico continues to Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 20.0N and 94.7W. This places the center about 115 miles ENE of Veracruz, Mexico. There is little current motion at the present time and no significant motion is expected during the next few days. However, any deviation to the south of west would bring the center inland.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 995mb. Little change in intensity is expected during the next 24-36 hours, followed by some slow intensification. It is still possible for Larry to intensify into a hurricane.

Next Update: 4 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

4 P.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #11

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues to move very slowly in the Bay of Campeche. Residents of the entire Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Larry and residents of the Bay of Campeche should be making all storm preparations as directed to by local emergency management officials.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Merida to Poza Rica. The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check the official watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 19.7N and 94.9W. This places the center about 100 miles ENE of Veracruz, Mexico. There remains little motion and no significant motion is expected during the next few days, though any deviation to the south or the west will bring the system onshore at any time.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 995mb. Little change in intensity is expected during the next day or so, followed by some slow intensification. Larry continues to have the potential to reach hurricane intensity.

Next Update: 7 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 P.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #12

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is bringing heavy rainfall to parts of Mexico on the Bay of Campeche. There have already been reports of flooding. All residents of the Bay of Campeche should be making all storm preparations that are directed by local emergency management officials and residents of the remainder of the Gulf Coast should be monitoring the progress of Larry closely as the track forecast remains uncertain.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch/Tropical Storm Warning (level 4 alert) from Campeche to Veracruz and a Hurricane Watch (level 3 alert) from Merida to Campeche and from Vera Cruz to Poza Rica. Please refer to the Alerts Page for descriptions of these alerts. The government of Mexico continues to have a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning in effect from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 19.7N and 94.9W. This places the center about 100 miles ENE of Veracruz. There is little current motion and no significant motion is expected during the next few days; however, any deviation to the south or west would bring the system inland at any time.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 995mb. Little change in intensity is expected for about a day or so, followed by some slow intensification. Larry continues to have the potential to become a hurricane.

Next Update: 10 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 P.M. CDT 10/3/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #13

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is bringing heavy rainfall to parts of Mexico on the Bay of Campeche. There have already been reports of flooding and evacuations. All residents of the Bay of Campeche should be making all storm preparations that are directed by local emergency management officials and residents of the remainder of the Gulf Coast should be monitoring the progress of Larry closely as the track forecast remains uncertain.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch/Tropical Storm Warning (level 4 alert) from Campeche to Veracruz and a Hurricane Watch (level 3 alert) from Merida to Campeche and from Vera Cruz to Poza Rica. Please refer to the Alerts Page for descriptions of these alerts. The government of Mexico continues to have a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning in effect from Campeche to Veracruz. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Next Update: 10 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. CDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #14

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 19.3N and 94.0W. This places the center about 150 miles east of Veracruz. There is a SE drift at this time, though no significant motion is expected during the next few days; however, any deviation to the south or west would bring the system inland at any time.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 994mb. Little change in intensity is expected for about a day or so, followed by some slow intensification. Larry continues to have the potential to become a hurricane.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 A.M. CDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #15

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues to move slowly in the Bay of Campeche, bringing devestating flooding to areas near the Bay of Campeche. Storm preparations should be made for these areas and all residents of the Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of Larry closely as the track forecast remain uncertain.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane watch/Tropical Storm Warning (level 4 alert) from Campeche to Veracruz, and a Hurricane watch (level 3 alert) from Merida to Campeche and from Veracruz to Poza Rica. Please see the Alerts Page for explanations of these alerts. The government of Mexico continues a Hurricane watch and a Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Tuxpan. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 19.3N and 93.7W. This places the center about 160 miles east of Veracruz. There is little motion, though a very slow WSW drift is expected soon. However, this remains uncertain and is subject to change. Any deviation to the south or east could bring the system inland at any time.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 994mb. recent satellite imagery indicates that Larry may be starting to intensify and slow intensification is expected until landfall. Larry could make landfall as a hurricane.

Next Update: 1 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

1 P.M. CDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #16

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues to drift in the Bay of Campeche with little change in intensity. However, it is continuing the bring very heavy rainfall to areas near the bay, producing some significant flooding. All storm preparations that are directed by local emergency management officials should be made.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch/Tropical Storm Warning (level 4 alert) from Campeche to Veracruz and a Hurricane Watch from Merida to Campeche and from Veracruz to Poza Rica. Please see the Alerts Page for descriptions of these alerts. The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Tuxpan. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 19.1N and 93.8W. This places the center about 50 miles north of Coatzocoalcos. The motion is a southerly drift. If this drift continues, landfall would occur within the next 24 hours.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 994mb. Recon is currently investigating the system and will give an exact intensity soon. Some slow intensification is expected until landfall and it is possible that Larry will become a hurricane.

Next Update: 4 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

4 P.M. CDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #17

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues to drift to the south, toward the coast of Mexico, near the Coatzacoalcos area. Landfall could occur as soon as later this evening. Already, heavy rainfall and severe flooding has been occurring along the shores of the Bay of Campeche. All storm preparations should have been completed.

NWHHC no longer recommends any Hurricane Watches, but does continue to recommend a Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Veracruz. All other recommended watches and warnings have been dropped. The government of Mexico continues to issue a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Tuxpan. Please confirm official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 18.8N and 93.9W. This places the center about 30 miles north of Coatzacoalcos. The motion has been a southerly drift; however, the system may be slowing again. Any further drift to the south would bring the center inland at any time.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 996mb. Little change in intensity is expected as the center is starting to interact with land areas.

Next Update: 7 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 P.M. CDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #18

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry continues to drift very slowly in the Bay of Campeche, not too far from Pariaso. Already, the heavy rainfall from the storm has been producing severe flooding for areas near the Bay of Campeche. All storm preparations should have been completed by now as landfall could occur at any time.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Veracruz. The government of Mexico continues to issue a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning from Campeche to Tuxpan. Please double check all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 18.7N and 93.9W. This places the center about 20 miles north of Pariaso. The system continues to drift to the south and if this track continues, landfall would occur overnight tonight.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 996mb. Little change in intensity is expected until landfall, followed by weakening once the system moves inland.

Next Update: 10 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 P.M. CDT 10/4/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #19

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is nearly inland as i continues to drift to the south. Landfall is expected in a mere couple of hours near Pariaso. The rgeatest threat remains heavy rainfall. Already, there have been reports of severe flooding and more flooding is expected.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 18.5N and 93.7W. This places the center about 10 miles north of Pariaso. The motion is to the south near 5 m.p.h. This track should continue, bringing the system inland overnight.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 996mb. Little change in intensity is expected until landfall, followed by weakening once the system moves inland.

Next Update: 6 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. CDT 10/5/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #20

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is only a few miles off of the coast. Landfall is expected in a couple of hours. Heavy rainfall conitnues to fall, producing heavy flooding and mudslides and these conditions are expected to persist throughout the day.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 18.4N and 93.7W. This places the center about 5 miles north of Pariaso. The motion is to the south near 5 m.p.h. This track should continue, bringing the system inland overnight.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 996mb. Little change in intensity is expected until landfall, followed by weakening once the system moves inland.

Next Update: 10 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

10 A.M. CDT 10/5/2003 TROPICAL STORM LARRY UPDATE #21

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Larry is now making landfall near Pariaso, bringing flooding rainfall and gusty winds. The flooding and mudslides are the greatest threats and there has already eben some devestation due to the flooding.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Larry is located near 18.3N and 93.7W. This places the center near Pariaso. The motion is to the south near 5 m.p.h. This track should continue, bringing the system over the high mountains today.

Maximum winds remain near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is 996mb.Weakening is now expected and Larry should dissipate over the high mountains. Next Update: 4 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

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