11 A.M. ADT 9/25/2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 UPDATE #1

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system

Currently, the center of Tropical Depression 15 is located near 29.5N and 61.0W. This places the center about 250 miles SE of Bermuda. The motion is to the north near 5 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue, with a slight acceleration over the next few days, taking the system to the east of Bermuda, though a deviation to the west could bring some of the effects to the island.

Maximum winds are near 35 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1008mb. Slow intensification is expected over the next few days and this depression could become a tropical storm later today.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/25/2003 TROPICAL STORM JUAN UPDATE #2

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of Bermuda and the Canadian Maritimes need to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Juan.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Juan is located near 31.6N and 61.7W. This places the center about 200 miles ESE of Bermuda. The motion is to the north near 5 m.p.h. A gradual acceleration is expected over the next few days, bringing the system close to Nova Scotia late this week-end, if it remains a distinct cyclone. Juan is expected to pass east of Bermuda, though a deviation to the west could bring some rain to the islands.

Maximum winds have increased to near 40 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1005mb. Continued intensification is expected, though Juan is currently not expected to become a hurricane.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. ADT 9/25/2003 TROPICAL STORM JUAN SPECIAL UPDATE #3

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Juan is intensifying significantly and is nearing the Islands of Bermuda based upon buoy observations. Rainfall is already nearing the area.

NWHHC does not recommend any watches or warnings for Bermuda; however, the Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning.

Residents of the Canadian Maritimes should monitor the progress of Juan

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Juan is located near 31.1N and 61.9W. This places the center about 185 miles to the ESE of Bermuda. The motion is to the NNW near 8 m.p.h. A track mainly to the north is expected over the next few days, with a gradual acceleration. If Juan remains a distinct cyclone, it should be nearing Nova Scotia late this week-end.

Maximum winds have increased to near 55 m.p.h. The pressure is 992mb. Further development is possible and Juan could become a hurricane within the next 12-24 hours.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/25/2003 TROPICAL STORM JUAN UPDATE #4

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Juan is intensifying significantly and is nearing the Islands of Bermuda based upon buoy observations. Rainfall is already nearing the area based on satellite imagery.

NWHHC does not recommend any watches or warnings for Bermuda; however, the Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning.

Residents of the Canadian Maritimes should monitor the progress of Juan

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Juan is located near 31.3N and 62.0W. This places the center about 170 miles to the ESE of Bermuda. The motion is to the NNW near 8 m.p.h. This north/northwest heading is expected to turn mainly to the north over the next few days, with a gradual acceleration in response to trough interactions. If Juan remains a distinct cyclone, it should be nearing Nova Scotia late this week-end.

Maximum winds have increased to near 55 m.p.h. The pressure is 992mb. Further development is possible and Juan could become a hurricane within the next 12-24 hours.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

11 A.M. ADT 9/26/2003 TROPICAL STORM JUAN UPDATE #6

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Juan is intensifying and is nearing the Islands of Bermuda based upon buoy observations. Rainfall is already nearing the area based on satellite imagery.

NWHHC does not recommend any watches or warnings for Bermuda; however, the Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning.

Residents of the Canadian Maritimes should monitor the progress of Juan.

Residents of eastern Maine and Nova Scotia should also monitor the progress of Juan, as this region is not far from the projected path of Juan.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Juan is located near 32.2N and 62.2W. This places the center about 150 miles to the east of Bermuda. The motion is to the NNW near 8 m.p.h. This north/northwest heading is expected to turn mainly to the north over the next few days, with a gradual acceleration in response to trough interactions. If Juan remains a distinct cyclone, it should be nearing Nova Scotia late this week-end.

Maximum winds have increased to near 70 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 990mb. Further development is possible and Juan could become a hurricane within the next 12-24 hours.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

2 P.M. ADT 9/26/2003 HURRICANE JUAN SPECIAL UPDATE #7

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Satellite imagery indicates that Juan has intensified and is now a hurricane. The outer bands of Hurricane Juan are bringing rain and wind to the islands of Bermuda.

NWHHC is not recommending any watches or warnings for Bermuda; however, the Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning.

Residents of eastern main and Nova Scotia should monitor the progress of Juan very closely. A Hurricane Watch may be recommended for Nova Scotia as early as tomorrow.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 32.5N and 62.1W. This places the eye about 150 miles east of Bermuda. The motion is to the north near 7 m.p.h. This general track, with a slight westerly component is expected, bringing the system near Nova Scotia late this week-end or early next week.

Maximum winds are now near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 985mb. Some additional slow development is possible over the next day or so and Juan may make landfall as a hurricane this week-end.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/26/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #8

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan is moving away from Bermuda and is moving toward Nova Scotia. Landfall is expected either late Sunday or Monday. Residents of Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and extreme eastern Maine need to closely monitor the progress of Juan.

NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane watch for Nova Scotia tomorrow morning. The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm warning for Bermuda.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 33.0N and 62.1W. This places the center about 180 miles ENE of Bermuda. The motion is to the north near 6 m.p.h. A gradual acceleration to the north is expected, bringing the center over Nova Scotia either Late Sunday or Monday.

Maximum winds are near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 985mb. Continued intensification is expected over the next day or so, before the system approaches Nova Scotia. Juan is expected to make landfall as a hurricane.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #9

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of Nova Scotia need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Juan very closely. NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane Watch for the region sometime tomorrow.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 33.9N and 61.9W. This places the eye about 250 miles ENE of Bermuda. The motion is to the north near 8 m.p.h. This general track is expected to continue over the next couple of days, with an acceleration. This track is expected to bring the system over Nova Scotia either late Sunday or Monday.

Maximum winds have increased to near 80 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 980mb. Some further slight intensification is possible over the next couple of days, though little net change in intensity is expected before reaching Nova Scotia.

Next Update: 6 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #19

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan is starting to accelerate toward Nova Scotia. Landfall is expected late tomorrow or early Monday. Residents of Nova Scotia should begin any necessary storm preparations.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch for Nova Scotia. Please consult with local emergency management officials or Environment Canada for any official watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 34.8N and 62.5W. This places the eye about 655 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The motion is to the NNW near 10 m.p.h. This general track is expected to continue over the next couple of days, with an acceleration. A northerly track, with a gradual acceleration is expected to bring the system over Nova Scotia either late Sunday or early Monday.

Maximum winds have increased to near 85 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 977mb. Some further slight intensification is possible over the next couple of days, though little net change in intensity is expected before reaching Nova Scotia.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #11

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan is starting to accelerate toward Nova Scotia. Landfall is expected late tomorrow or early Monday. Residents of Nova Scotia should begin any necessary storm preparations.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch for Nova Scotia. Please consult with local emergency management officials or Environment Canada for any official watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 35.5N and 62.6W. This places the eye about 550 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The motion is to the NNW near 13 m.p.h. This general track is expected to continue over the next couple of days, with an acceleration. A northerly track, with a gradual acceleration is expected to bring the system over Nova Scotia either late Sunday or early Monday.

Maximum winds have increased to near 85 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 980mb. Some further slight intensification is possible over the next couple of days, though little net change in intensity is expected before reaching Nova Scotia.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 P.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #12

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan is intensifying rapidly this afternoon as it moves toward Nova Scotia. Juan is now a category 2 hurricane. Landfall is expected late tomorrow or early Monday. All storm preparations need to be completed by tomorrow afternoon. Take any storm preparations that are advised by local emergency management officials.

Residents of eastern Main also should monitor the progress of Hurricane Juan.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for all of Nova Scotia. The Canadian Hurricane Center has issued various warnings for the area. Please refer to products from the Canadian Hurricane Center for official watches and warnings.

Expected impacts on Nova Scotia: Wind gusts approaching 120 m.p.h. (190 kmh), along with very heavy rainfall and coastal storm surges up to 6-8 feet.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 35.8N and 63.5W. This places the eye about 625 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The motion is to the NNW near 8 m.p.h. A significant acceleration, along with a northward track is expected, bringing the eye inland either late tomorrow or early tomorrow afternoon. It needs to be noted that if Juan deviates to the west of the forecast track, it would bring some wind and rain to eastern Maine.

Maximum winds have increased to near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 965mb. Slight additional intensification is possible today, though little net change in intensity should occur before reaching Nova Scotia.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #13

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan continues toward Nova Scotia and continues to show signs of intensification this evening. Landfall is expected either late tomorrow or early Monday in Nova Scotia, though residents of Maine need to continue to closely monitor the progress of this system as any deviation to the west of the forecast track will bring wind and rain to Maine.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Nova Scotia. The Canadian Hurricane Center has issued many watches and warnings. Please refer to their products for the official watches and warnings.

Effects of land: Wind gusts approaching 120 m.p.h. (190 kmh), along with heavy rainfall and storm surge flooding of up to 6-8 feet (roughly 2 meters)

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 36.3N and 63.7W. This places the eye about 600 miles south of Nova Scotia. The motion is to the NNW near 8 m.p.h. An acceleration, and a turn to the north is expected over the next day, bringing the center inland over Nova Scotia late tomorrow or early on Monday.

Maximum winds are between 105 and 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 962mb. Some additional intensification is possible over the next few hours, though little net change in intensity is expected before landfall. Juan is expected to make landfall as a powerful hurricane.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #14

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan continues toward Nova Scotia and continues to show signs of intensification this evening. Landfall is expected either late tomorrow in western Nova Scotia, though residents of Maine and New Brunswick need to continue to closely monitor the progress of this system as any deviation to the west of the forecast track will bring wind and rain to Maine.

Effects of land: Wind gusts approaching 120 m.p.h. (190 kmh), along with heavy rainfall and storm surge flooding of up to 6-8 feet (roughly 2 meters)

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 36.7N and 63.9W. This places the eye about 580 miles south of Nova Scotia. The motion is to the NNW near 9 m.p.h. An acceleration, and a turn to the north is expected over the next day, bringing the center inland over Nova Scotia late tomorrow or early on Monday.

Maximum winds are estimated to be 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 962mb. Some additional intensification is possible over the next few hours, though little net change in intensity is expected before landfall. Juan is expected to make landfall as a powerful hurricane.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

6 A.M. ADT 9/27/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #15

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan continues toward Nova Scotia. Landfall is expected tonight as a powerful hurricane. Residents of Nova Scotia should be making all storm preparations as directed by local emergency management officials and have then completed by 5 P.M. this afternoon.

Juan is also expected to bring some wind and rain to extreme eastern Maine. Residents of eastern Maine should also closely monitor the progress of Juan.

Effects of land: Wind gusts approaching 120 m.p.h. (190 kmh), along with heavy rainfall and storm surge flooding of up to 6-8 feet (roughly 2 meters)

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 38.0N and 64.0W. This places the eye about 500 miles south of Nova Scotia. The motion is to the north near 11 m.p.h. An acceleration, and a turn to the north is expected over the next day, bringing the center inland over Nova Scotia tonight.

Maximum winds are estimated to be 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 962mb. Slow weakening is expecteduntil landfall; however, Juan is expected to make landfall as a powerful hurricane.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/28/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #16

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Dangerous Hurricane Juan is accelerating toward Nova Scotia. Conditions will begin to deteriorate early this afternoon. Landfall is expected this evening. All storm preparations that are advised by local emergency management officials need to be completed by 5 P.M. this afternoon.

Juan is expected to bring some wind and rain to eastern Maine, though it should pass far enough to the east so that the significant impacts will miss the area.

Expected impacts to Nova Scotia: Wind gusts approaching 115 m.p.h. (185 kmh), along with very heavy rainfall and storm surge heights approaching 6 to 8 feet (roughly 2 meters).

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Nova Scotia and now recommends a Tropical Storm Warning for the Bay of Fundy coast of New Brunswick. The Canadian Hurricane center has a variety is warnings in effect. Please see their products for official watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 39.4N and 64.1W. This places the eye about 440 miles south of Nova Scotia. The motion is to the north near 19 m.p.h. A continued acceleration is expected over the next few hours, bringing the eye across Nova Scotia this evening and into new Brunswick shortly after.

Maximum winds have decreased slightly to near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 966mb. Some additional slight weakening is expected before landfall; however, Juan is expected to remain a powerful hurricane at the time of landfall.

Next Update: 2 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2 P.M. AST 9/28/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #17

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center nor the Canadian Hurricane Center

Dangerous Hurricane Juan is rapidly accelerating toward Nova Scotia. Landfall is expected in a mere few hours in the Halifax area. Conditions will begin to deteriorate very rapidly later this afternoon as the system is very compact. There will not be more than a couple of hours prior to the onset of the outer bands to the arrival of the eye. Therefore, it is essential that all storm preparations be completed by 5 P.M. AST or 6 P.M. local time.

Residents of eastern Maine also need to closely monitor the progress of this situation. An unexpected deviation to the west of the forecast track would result in no warning time for this hurricane.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Nova Scotia and a Tropical Storm Warning for the bay of Fundy coast of New Brunswick. The Canadian Hurricane Center has issued various wind and rain warnings for the area.

Expected impacts on land:
Nova Scotia: Wind gusts up to 115 m.p.h. (180kmh), along with storm surge heights up to 6-8 feet (roughly 2 metres). Juan has the potential to cause significant damage to the area.
New Brunswick: Wind gusts to minimal hurricane force. Tidal surges should be minimal.
Maine: Some gusty winds and rain from the outer bands. If Juan deviates to the left, there would be no lead time for the arrival of Juan.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 40.0N and 64.2W. This places the eye about 310 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The previous distance was an error. The motion is to the north near 20 m.p.h. A continued acceleration is expected this afternoon, bringing the system across Nova Scotia late this afternoon and into this evening.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 966mb. Slight weakening is expected before landfall; however, due to the rapid forward speed, the system will not have the time to significantly weaken before landfall; therefore, Juan is expected to remain as a powerful hurricane.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. AST 9/28/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #18

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center nor the Canadian Hurricane Center

Dangerous Hurricane Juan is nearing Nova Scotia and is expected to make landfall in a few hours. Conditions will decrease rapidly over the next hour or so as Juan nears the coast of Nova Scotia, near Halifax. All storm preparations should have been completed by now.

Residents of eastern Maine also need to closely monitor the progress of this situation. The danger is lessening to the area as Juan has continued to move due north.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 41.3N and 64.1W. This places the eye about 225 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The previous distance was an error. The motion is to the north near 25 m.p.h. A continued acceleration is expected this afternoon, bringing the system across Nova Scotia late this afternoon and into this evening.

Maximum winds have decreased slightly and are now near 100 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 970mb. Little change in intensification is expected prior to making landfall. Juan will be a very strong hurricane when it makes landfall and is capable of producing damage to the area.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. AST 9/28/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #19

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center nor the Canadian Hurricane Center

Dangerous Hurricane Juan continues to accelerate toward the Halifax area. Landfall is expected in 3-4 hours and conditions will rapidly deteriorate in an hour or so. All storm preparations should have been completed by now as conditions will soon become too dangerous to be outside making storm preparations.

Residents of eastern Maine also need to closely monitor the progress of this situation. The danger is lessening to the area as Juan has continued to move due north.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 42.5N and 64.0W. This places the eye about 145 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The motion is to the north near 28 m.p.h. A continued acceleration is expected this evening, bringing the system across Nova Scotia in a mere few hours..

Maximum winds have decreased slightly and are now near 95 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 972mb. Little change in intensification is expected prior to making landfall. Juan will be a very strong hurricane when it makes landfall and is capable of producing damage to the area.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. AST 9/28/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #20

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center nor the Canadian Hurricane Center

The eye of Dangerous Hurricane Juan is now making landfall near Halifax, nova Scotia. Latest repors from the area indicate winds to about 56 m.p.h., though winds are likely now sustained at hurricane force and the eye wall and eye are moving onshore. In addition, tidal flooding is most likely occurring along the south shore of Nova Scotia. Conditions will remain extreme for a couple of hours, then rapidly improve as Juan rapidly races to the north of the area and into the northern Maritimes.

Residents of eastern Mainewill not experience any more impacts from the system than they are currently receiving. The threat no longer exists for Maine.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Nova Scotia and a Tropical Storm Warning for the bay of Fundy coast of New Brunswick. NWHHC now recommends a Tropical Storm Warning for Prince Edward Island. The Canadian Hurricane Center has issued various wind and rain warnings for the area.

Expected impacts on land:
Nova Scotia: Wind gusts up to 115 m.p.h. (180kmh), along with storm surge heights up to 6-8 feet (roughly 2 metres). Juan has the potential to cause significant damage to the area.
New Brunswick: Wind gusts to minimal hurricane force. Tidal surges should be minimal.
Prine Edward Island: Wind gusts to storm force (greater than 55 m.p.h. or 90 khm) along with periods of heavy rain
Maine: Some gusty winds and rain from the outer bands. If Juan deviates to the left, there would be no lead time for the arrival of Juan.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Juan is located near 44.2N and 64.0W. This places the eye very near Halifax, Nova Scotia. The motion is to the north near 40 m.p.h. A continued acceleration is expectedtongiht, bringing the system into the northern reaches of the maritimes by tomorrow morning

Maximum winds have decreased slightly and are now near 90 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 975mb. Little change in intensification is expected prior to making landfall. Juan will be a very strong hurricane when it makes landfall and is capable of producing damage to the area.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. AST 9/28/2003 HURRICANE JUAN UPDATE #21

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center nor the Canadian Hurricane Center

Hurricane Juan has crossed Nova Scotia and has become an extra-tropical cyclone. When Juan made landfall, it did produce an 89 m.p.h. wind gust in Halifax. There is no word on casualties or damage at this time.

This is the final update on Juan

Forecaster: Ortt

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