11 A.M. ADT 9/6/2003 TROPICAL STORM ISABEL UPDATE #1

This is an indepednent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Isabel is located near 13.6N and 34.5W. This places the center about 1700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The motion is to the west near 15 m.p.h. This general track is expected during the next few days.

Maximum winds are near 40 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1005mb. Significant intensification is expected and Isabel should become a hurricane within the next 36 hours.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/6/2003 TROPICAL STORM ISABEL UPDATE #2

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Isabel is located near 13.2N and 35.4W. This places the center about 1600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The motion is to the west near 15 m.p.h. This track should continue for the next few days.

Maximum winds have increased and are now near 50 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1000mb. Continued intensification is expected during the next few days. Isabel is expected to become a hurricane within the next 24 hours and could become a major hurricane in a few days.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/6/2003 TROPICAL STORM ISABEL UPDATE #3

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Isabel is located near 13.4N and 36.0W. This places the center about 1500 miles to the east of Barbados. The motion is to the west near 10 m.p.h. A turn to the WNW is expected and that track should continue for the next few days.

Maximum winds have increased to near 60 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 996mb. Continued intensification is expected and Isabel should become a hurricane tomorrow and a major hurricane in a few days.

Next Update: 7 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. ADT 9/7/2003 TROPICAL STORM ISABEL UPDATE #4

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Tropical Storm Isabel is located near 14.0N and 37.5W. This places the storm about 1400 miles east of Barbados. The motion is to the west near 10 m.p.h. A WNW track is expected for the next few days.

Maximum winds are near 70 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 991mb. Continued intensification is expected and Isabel should become a hurricane later this morning as an eye appears present on visible imagery and a major hurricane in a few days.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/7/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #5

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 14.8N and 37.7W. This places the eye about 1500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The motion is to the NW near 10 m.p.h. A WNW track is expected for a copuple of days, followed by a bend back to the west.

Maximum winds have increased to near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 988mb. Continued intensification is expected and Isabel is expected to become a major hurricane within the next 36-48 hours.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/7/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #6

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 15.2N and 39.2W. This places the eye about 1400 miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles. The motion is to the WNW near 15 m.p.h. This general track should continue for a couple of days, followed by a turn to the west. It is too early to tell whether or not this will impact the Lesser Antilles.

Maximum winds have increased to near 80 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 985mb. Continued significant intensification is expected and Isabel is expected to become a major hurricane within the next 48 hours.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/7/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #7

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Isabel.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 16.0N and 40.0W. This places the eye about 1350 miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles. The motion is to the WNW near 15 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue for about 36-48 hours, followed by a turn back to the west. Initial projections take this north of the Leeward Islands, but this is a long-term forecast, which is subject to large errors.

Maximum winds have increased to near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 970mb. Continued intensification is expected and Isabel is expected to become a major hurricane as early as tomorrow and maintain this intensity through the next several days.

Next Update: 6 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

6 A.M. ADT 9/8/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #8

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Isabel. Current projections have this passing north, but any deviation to the south could bring rough weather to the area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 16.8N and 41.5W. This places the eye about 1300 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the NW near 14 m.p.h. A WNW motion, followed by a westerly motion is expected over the next few days, taking the center just north of the Caribbean islands.

Maximum winds have increased to near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 965mb. Continued intensification is expected and Isabel should become a major hurricane later this morning of afternoon.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/8/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #9

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Isabel. Current projections have this passing north, but any deviation to the south could bring rough weather to the area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 17.0N and 42.8W. This places the eye about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the NW near 14 m.p.h. A WNW motion, followed by a westerly motion is expected overthe next few days, taking the center just north of the Caribbean islands.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 P.M. ADT 9/8/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #10

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues to grow in intensity. However, it is expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands and not bring any significant effects to the area. However, to be safe, residents of the northern leeward Islands need to conitnue to monitor the progress of this system.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 17.9N and 43.7W. This places the eye about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the NW near 15 m.p.h. This has been expected and a turn back to the west is expected soon, and that track should continue for a few days.

Maximum winds have increased to near 125 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 950mb. Continued intensification is expected over the next 24 hours and Isabel is expected to become a category 4 hurricane.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/8/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #11

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues to intensify and could become a category 4 hurricane. Initial projections indicate that the hurricane will track north of the Caribbean, though residents of the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this storm closely.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 18.5N and 44.5W. This places the eye about 1100 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the WNW near 14 m.p.h. A turn to the west is expected and this track should continue for several days, bringing the system toward the Bahamas over the week-end, though this is subject to change.

Maximum winds have increased to near 130 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 945mb. Continued intensification is expected over the next 12 hours, bringing the storm to category 4 intensity, followed by fluctuations in intensity.

Next Update: 6 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. ADT 9/9/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #12

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel is still expected to pass north of the Lesser Antilles as a major hurricane, though residents of the northern Leeward Islands still need to monitor the progress of this storm very closely.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 19.4N and 46.2W. This places the eye about 1000 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the WNW near 14 m.p.h. A turn to the west is expected soon, and this track should continue for the next few days, bringing the center just north of the Leeward Islands.

Maximum winds are near 125 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 955mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days, as is typical with major hurricanes. However, Isabel is expected to remain a major hurricane.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/9/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #13

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel is still expected to pass north of the Lesser Antilles as a major hurricane, though residents of the northern Leeward Islands still need to monitor the progress of this storm very closely.

Maximum winds are near 130 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 950mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days, as is typical with major hurricanes. However, Isabel is expected to remain a major hurricane.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 P.M. ADT 9/9/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #14

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues it WNW track, though the hurricane is still expected to turn back to the west. However, it appears that the Lesser Antilles are not going to be affected by this hurricane. However, residents of the Bahamas should begin to follow the progress of this system.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 20.3N and 47.9W. This places the center about 950 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the WNW near 14 m.p.h. This track is expected to turn back to the west after 12-24 hours, and the continue for the next several days.

Maximum winds remain near 130 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 950mb. Flucuations in intensity are expected, though if any significant changes were to occur, it would likely be to weaken the system.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/9/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #15

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 20.7N and 49.0W. This places the center about 850 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the WNW near 14 m.p.h. This track is expected to turn back to the west after 12-24 hours, and the continue for the next several days.

Maximum winds remain near 125 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 950mb. Flucuations in intensity are expected, though if any significant changes were to occur, it would likely be to weaken the system.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 A.M. ADT 9/10/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #16

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 20.8N and 49.8W. This places the center about 750 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the WNW near 14 m.p.h. This track is expected to turn back to the west after 12-24 hours, and the continue for the next several days.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

11 A.M. ADT 9/10/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #17

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel has now turned to the west. However, it appears that the Lesser Antilles are not going to be affected by this hurricane. However, residents of the Bahamas should begin to follow the progress of this system.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.1N and 51.0W. This places the center about 650 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the W near 14 m.p.h. This track is expected to remain mostly to the west through the next five days.

Maximum winds remain near 130 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 948mb. Flucuations in intensity are expected, though if any significant changes were to occur, it would likely be to weaken the system.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 P.M. ADT 9/10/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #18

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Isabel very closely over the next few days. Isabel is expected to pose a threat to these areas sometime next week.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.2N and 51.9W. This places the eye about 750 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 12 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue for several days, bringing the system toward the Bahamas late in the week.

Maximum winds have increased to near 140 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 945mb. Flucuations in intensity are expected over the next several days due to changes in the structure of the eye. However, Isabel is expected to remain a major hurricane.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/10/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #19

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Isabel very closely. Isabel is expected to threaten these areas as a major hurricane next week.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.1N and 52.7W. This places the eye about 650 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 10 m.p.h. This general track, with a possible WNW turn is expected over the next several days.

Maximum winds remain near 140 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 944mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days due to eye wall dynamics; however, Isabel is expected to remain a major hurricane.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. ADT 9/10/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #20

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Isabel very closely. Isabel is expected to threaten these areas as a major hurricane next week.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.1N and 53.7W. This places the eye about 650 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 9 m.p.h. This general track, with a possible WNW turn is expected over the next several days.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

11 A.M. ADT 9/11/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #21 (Corrected)

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Isabel very closely. Isabel is expected to threaten these areas as a major hurricane next week.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.3N and 54.6W. This places the eye about 650 miles ENE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 10 m.p.h. This general track, with a possible WNW turn is expected over the next several days.

Maximum winds are near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 925mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days due to eye wall dynamics; however, Isabel is expected to remain a major hurricane.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

Reason for Correction: Give correct maximum winds

5 P.M. ADT 9/11/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #22

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues as a category 5 hurricane. Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to continue to monitor the progress of this system very closely. The forecast is uncertain now; however, there is a good chanc that these areas will be threatened next week.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.5N and 52.4W. This places the storm about 490 miles NE of the leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 10 m.p.h. This general track, with a possible WNW turn is expected in the next several days, possibly taking the system near the Bahamas early next week.

Maximum winds remain near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 925mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected due to eye dynamics. However, Isabel is expected to remain as a major hurricane through the forecast period.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/11/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #23

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

The previous center position should have read 55.4, not 52.4W.

Isabel still remains a category 5 hurricane. The Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast should monitor the progress of this system the following days. There is significant uncertainty concerning that track, forward speed, and intensity of Isabel; however, there is a decent probability that these regions may be threatened next week.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is situated near 21.6N and 56.1W. This places the storm about 450 miles NE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 10 m.p.h. This general track, with a possible WNW turn is expected in the next several days, possibly taking the system near the Bahamas next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 925mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected due to eye dynamics, and some weakening is expected in the near term. Nevertheless, Isabel is expected to remain as a major hurricane through the forecast period.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Kozich

5 A.M. ADT 9/12/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #24

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues as a category 5 hurricane. The Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast should monitor the progress of this system the following days. There is significant uncertainty concerning that track, forward speed, and intensity of Isabel; however, there is a decent probability that these regions may be threatened next week.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is situated near 21.8N and 57.0W. This places the storm about 450 miles NE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 11 m.p.h. This general track, with a possible WNW turn is expected in the next several days, possibly taking the system near the Bahamas next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 921mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected due to eye dynamics, and some weakening is expected in the near term. Nevertheless, Isabel is expected to remain as a major hurricane through the forecast period.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/12/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #25

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Forecast for Isabel shifts to the north. However, residents of the U.S. East Coast and Bahamas still need to closely monitor the progress of this system as this forecast is very uncertain and could change. Isabel is still expected to threaten a portion of the coast next week.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.6N and 57.8W. This places the eye about 300 miles NE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 9 m.p.h. A turn to the WNW or NW is expected during the next few days, though this is subject to change.

Maximum winds remain near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 921mb. Recon will investigate later today. Weakening is expected during the next 36 hours as the system encounters a more unfavorable environment and due to eye dynamics.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/12/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #26

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel maintains category 5 intensity as confirmed by recon. Residents of the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast need to continue to monitor the progress of this system and continue to check for the latest forecasts, as the forecasts are very uncertain at this time.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.8N and 58.6W. This places the eye about 300 miles NE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 9 m.p.h. This tarck should bend more to the NW over the next few days, but may still threaten the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast.

Maximum winds remain near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is 920mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected due to eye dynamics, though Isabel is expected to remain a category 4 or 5 hurricane for the next several days.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/12/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #27

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel remains a powerful hurricane and continues to the west. A WNW and NW turn is still expected. However, residents of the bahamas and particularly the U.S. East Coast need to continue to monitor the progress of this hurricane as it may pose a threat next week.

High waves may begin to affect the north facing shores of the Leeward and Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico this week-end.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 21.9N and 59.5W. This places the eye about 250 miles to the NE of the Leeward Isalnds. The motion is to the west near 9 m.p.h. A gradual turn to the NW is expected over the next several days, though a turn out to sea is not currently forecast.

Maximum winds are near 155 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 925mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next few days due to eye wall dynamics. However, isabel is expected to remain as a category 4 or 5 hurricane for a few days.

Next Update: 7 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. ADT 9/12/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #28

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel conitnues towards the west, though it is expected to turn more NW with time. Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to conitnue to monitor the progress of Isabel.

High waves may begin to affect the north facing shores of the Leeward and Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico this week-end.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 22.1N and 60.5W. This places the eye about 190 miles to the NE of the Leeward Isalnds. The motion is to the west near 9 m.p.h. A gradual turn to the NW is expected over the next several days, though a turn out to sea is not currently forecast.

Maximum winds are near 150 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 945mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next few days due to eye wall dynamics. However, isabel is expected to remain as a category 4 or 5 hurricane for a few days.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/12/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #29

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel conitnues towards the west, though it is expected to turn more NW with time. Residents of the Bahamas and U.S. East Coast need to conitnue to monitor the progress of Isabel. Preliminary indications are that landfall will occur in either the mid Atlantic, or New England. This is subject to change.

High waves may begin to affect the north facing shores of the Leeward and Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico this week-end.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 22.2N and 61.5W. This places the eye about 130 miles to the NNE of the Leeward Isalnds. The motion is to the west near 11 m.p.h. A gradual turn to the NW is expected over the next several days, bringing the system close to land in 5 or 6 days.

Maximum winds are near 150 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 935mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next few days due to eye wall dynamics. However, Isabel is expected to remain as a category 4 or 5 hurricane for a few days.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2:30 P.M. ADT 9/13/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL SPECIAL UPDATE #30

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Recent recon reports indicate that Hurricane Isabel has reached category 5 intensity once again. Also, track guidance is starting to focus on an eventual landfall in the Carolinas or northward. All residents of this region need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Isabel very closely over the next few days and do not wait until the last minute to make storm preparations.

High surf should continue to affect the Leeward and Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 22.5N and 62.1W. This places the eye about 200 miles NNE of the Leeward Islands. The motion is to the west near 11 m.p.h. A gradual NW track is expected, bringing the system near the mid Atlantic coast in 5 or 6 days. However, this is subject to change.

Maximum winds have increased to near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is 934mb. More fluctuations in intensity are expected, as is typical of a hurricane of this magnitude. However, Isabel is expected to remain a category 4 or 5 hurricane for the next few days.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/13/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #31

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Isabel continues towards the U.S. East Coast as a category 5 hurricane. All residents of the U.S. East Coast, particularly from South Carolina to Long Island, should monitor the progress of this very dangerous hurricane very closely. Do not wait until the last minute to make your storm preparations.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 22.6N and 62.4W. This places the eye about 390 miles to the NE of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The motion is to the WNW near 10 m.p.h. A gradual turn to the NW or NNW is expected over the next few days, bringing the system close to the Mid Atlantic Coast late next week.

Maximum winds are near 160 m.p.h. The pressure is 932mb. Fluctuations in intensity are still expected over the next few days due to eye dynamics. However, Isabel is expected to remain a dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane for several more days.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/13/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #32

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel weakens slightly, though it remains a dangerous category 4 hurricane and is expected to re-intensify tomorrow. In addition, a track toward the Mid Atlantic portion of the U.S. east Coast seems likely. Therefore, all residents of the U.S. east Coast, in particular the Carolinas and areas northward need to monitor the progress of this very dangerous system very closely.

Note: If you view the track graphic, please remember that forecasts beyond 72 hours are subject to large errors and are subject to change. This should be viewed as an outlook more so than a precise forecast; therefore, do not focus on the forecast track beyond 72 hours.

High waves are affecting Puerto Rico, as well as the Leeward and Virgin Islands. These conditions could spread to Hispaniola as time passes.

Currently, the eye of dangerous Hurricane Isabel is located near 23.1N and 63.9W. This places the eye about 375 miles to the NE of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The motion is to the WNW near 13 m.p.h. A turn to the NW, with a slowdown is expected during the next 36 to 72 hours, followed by an acceleration to the NNW, toward the coast. Preliminary indications are that landfall will occur next Thursday, though this is subject to multiple changes between now and the landfall day.

Maximum winds have decreased to near 145 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 930mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected, though any net change in the next 24 hours is expected to be intensification. Isabel is expected to remain a dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane for the next several days.

Next Update: 7 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

6 A.M. ADT 9/13/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #33

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel nears category 5 intensity once again as it conitnues to the WNW. All residents of the U.S. east Coast, in particular the Carolinas and areas northward need to monitor the progress of this very dangerous system very closely.

High waves are affecting Puerto Rico, as well as the Leeward and Virgin Islands. These conditions could spread to Hispaniola as time passes.

Currently, the eye of dangerous Hurricane Isabel is located near 23.3N and 65.2W. This places the eye about 340 miles to the north of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The motion is to the west near 13 m.p.h. A turn to the NW, with a slowdown is expected during the next 36 to 72 hours, followed by an acceleration to the NNW, toward the coast. Preliminary indications are that landfall will on Thursday; however, this is preliminary and subject to many changes before the time of the actual landfall.

Maximum winds have increased to to near 155 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 938mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next few days as the system approach the coast. However, Isabel is expected to remain a dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane for the next several days.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/14/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #34

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel remains a dangerous hurricane and is moving toward the East Coast Coast of the United States. Preliminary indications are that Isabel will reach the coast on Thursday, first in North Carolina, then moving up the coast. These are subject to change as time passes. However, residents should have already begun preliminary storm preparations and do not wait until the last minute to prepare for this extremely dangerous hurricane.

Please note that the forecast points on the track graphic after 72 hours are subject to large errors. Therefore, view these as mere outlooks and not as precise forecast points. revisions to this forecast will likely be needed as Isabel approaches the coast.

Heavy surf continues to affect the Leeward and Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico. These conditions are spreading into Hispaniola and will soon do so for the Bahamas as well as for the U.S. East Coast.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 23.7N and 66.3W. This places the eye about 975 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the WNW near 13 m.p.h. A temporary slowdown is expected, along with a turn towards the NNW over the next few days, bringing the system inland into the Mid Atlantic States in a few days. However, this is subject to change. Therefore, listen to local emergency management officials very closely.

Maximum winds are near 150 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 938mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected as the system moves toward the coast, though Isabel is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane, capable of producing extensive damage.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/14/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #35

Hurricane Isabel remains a very dangerous hurricane and is heading toward the Mid Atlantic portion of the U.S. East Coast. Preliminary projections continue to indicate that landfall may occur as early as Thursday near the Outer Banks of North Carolina. However, this is subject to change. Therefore, all residents from North Carolina through New England should be monitoring the progress of Hurricane Isabel very closely and should have already begun to make their preliminary storm preparations. Do not wait until the last minute to prepare.

Note: If you view the track forecast graphic, please know that the forecast points beyond 72 hours are subject to large errors and may been to be revised in future forecasts. These points should be viewed as mere outlooks, and not precise forecasts.

Heavy surf is already affecting Puerto Rico, the Leeward and Virgin Islands, as well as Hispaniola. These conditions should spread to the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast over the next few days.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 24.0N and 67.4W. This places the eye about 920 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the WNW near 10 m.p.h. A slightly slower forward speed, with a turn to the NNW is expected over the next few days, before the system accelerates to the NNW toward the Mid Atlantic U.S. East Coast. This is subject to change. Therefore, continue to listen to local emergency management officials for the latest storm information.

Maximum winds are near 155 m.p.h. The pressure is 933mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected for the next few days due to eye dynamics. However, Isabel is expected to remain a category 4 or 5 hurricane, that is capable of producing extreme damage if it makes landfall.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/14/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #36

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Isabel continues to head toward the Mid Atlantic portion of the U.S. East Coast. It is appearing more and more likely that Isabel will begin to affect the coastline late on Wednesday or early Thursday, with a possible landfall in eastern North Carolina on Thursday. This system has the potential to affect areas farther up the U.S. East Coast as well. Therefore, all residents from North Carolina and areas northward should have already begun preliminary storm preparations, and any additional ones as directed by local emergency management officials.

Residents of the NW Bahamas should continue to monitor the progress of Isabel, though the system is expected to pass far enough away from the islands to ensure no significant direct effects from the system

It must be stressed to those who view the track forecast graphic that all positions beyond 72 hours are subject to large error and are subject to significant changes between now and the time of landfall. Therefore, these positions should be viewed as mere outlooks and not precise forecasts.

High waves will continue to affect the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and will be spreading toward the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast during the next few days.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 24.5N and 68.3W. This places the eye about 875 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the WNW near 12 m.p.h. A slowdown and a turn to the NNW is expected during the next 48 hours, followed by an acceleration to the NNW, then north, but the turn to the north is not expected before landfall, which is expected in about 84-96 hours. There are rumors being spread of a Florida landfall. These are not scientifically based and are to be discounted.

Maximum winds remain near 155 m.p.h. This makes Isabel a borderline category 4/5 hurricane. The pressure is 933mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days. However, Isabel is expected to remain a dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane until it nears the coast.

Next Update: 6 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

6 A.M. ADT 9/14/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #37

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

High waves will continue to affect the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and will be spreading toward the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast during the next few days.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 24.8N and 69W. This places the eye about 830 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the WNW near 9 m.p.h. A turn to the NNW is expected during the next 48 hours, followed by an acceleration to the NNW, then north, but the turn to the north is not expected before landfall, which is expected in about 84-96 hours. There are rumors being spread of a Florida landfall. These are not scientifically based and are to be discounted.

Maximum winds have decreased to near 145m.p.h. The pressure is 940mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days. However, Isabel is expected to remain a dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane until it nears the coast.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/14/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #38

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel weakens slightly as it heads towards the coast of North Carolina. It is appearing more and more likely that Isabel will begin to affect the coastline late on Wednesday or early Thursday, with a possible landfall in eastern North Carolina on Thursday. This system has the potential to affect areas farther up the U.S. East Coast as well. Therefore, all residents from North Carolina and areas northward should have already begun preliminary storm preparations, and any additional ones as directed by local emergency management officials.

High waves will continue to affect the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and will be spreading toward the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast during the next few days.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 25.2N and 69.3W. This places the eye about 780 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the WNW near 9 m.p.h. A turn to the NNW is expected during the next 48 hours, followed by an acceleration to the NNW, then north, but the turn to the north is not expected before landfall, which is expected in about 84-96 hours. There are rumors being spread of a Florida landfall. These are not scientifically based and are to be discounted.

Maximum winds have decreased to near 140 m.p.h. The pressure is 945mb. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next several days. However, Isabel is expected to remain a dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane until it nears the coast.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/15/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #39

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel continues to move toward the Mid Atlantic portion of the U.S. East Coast. Landfall is expected on Thursday. Everyone living on or near the coast from North Carolina through New England should have already begun to make preliminary storm preparations, and any advanced preparations as suggested by local emergency management officials.

There are evacuation orders that have been issued for parts of the Outer Banks of North Carolina. If you are under an evacuation order, comply with this order. These are for your safety. Failure to comply may place your life in danger.

High waves have begun to impact the U.S. East Coast. Waves will increase to heights in excess of 15 feet over the next day or so as Isabel approaches. Stay out of the water as tidal conditions are very dangerous. Some coastal flooding is also possible, even before the storm makes landfall.

NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane Watch sometime tomorrow, and an official hurricane watch will also likely be issued tomorrow. Please refer to local emergency management officials for confirmation of any official watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 25.8N and 69.9W. This places the center about 700 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NW near 7 m.p.h. Recent satellite imagery indicates that the short term motion may be to the NNW. However, this in no way suggests that Isabel is expected to miss the coast. Landfall is expected on Thursday near the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Conditions will begin to deteriorate long before the arrival of the eye wall; therefore, do not focus on the exact time of landfall.

Maximum winds are near 130 m.p.h. The pressure is 950mb. Recent satellite images suggest that Hurricane Isabel may be intensifying again. Some re-intensification is possible during the next 24 hours as atmospheric conditions are expected to become more favorable for intensification. Isabel is expected to make landfall at or near major hurricane intensity, which begins when a hurricane has winds of 111 m.p.h.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. ADT 9/15/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #40

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 26.1N and 70.2W. This places the center about 700 miles to the SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NW near 7 m.p.h. Landfall is expected on Thursday somewhere between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and the DELMARVA. Conditions will begin to deteriorate long before the arrival of the eye wall; therefore, do not focus on the exact time of landfall.

Maximum winds are near 130 m.p.h. The pressure is 949mb. Recent satellite images suggest that Hurricane Isabel may be intensifying again. Some re-intensification is possible during the next 24 hours as atmospheric conditions are expected to become more favorable for intensification. Isabel is expected to make landfall at or near major hurricane intensity, which begins when a hurricane has winds of 111 m.p.h.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 A.M. ADT 9/16/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #41

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues to weaken, though it remain as a major hurricane as it moves toward the coast of the Mid Atlantic USA. Isabel still has the potential to become a major hurricane at the time of landfall. All residents form North Carolina through New England should have begun preliminary storm preparations and any advanced preparations as directed by local emergency management officials.

There are evacuations orders for some portions of the East Coast. Please consult with local emergency management officials for any evacuation orders for your area. If one is issued, comply with it. These orders are for your personal safety. Failure to comply may place your life in danger.

High waves will continue to affect the U.S. East Coast and could brow to heights in excess of 15 feet. This may cause coastal flooding well before the storm makes landfall.

NWHHC will likely recommend a hurricane watch later today for a portion of the U.S. East Coast. In addition, an official hurricane watch will likely also be issued. Please consult with local emergency management officials for the latest official watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 26.6N and 70.7W. This places the center about 660 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NW near 7 m.p.h. A NNW track, and acceleration, is expected until the time of landfall, which is expected anywhere between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and the Delmarva Peninsula on Thursday.

Maximum winds have decreased to near 115 m.p.h. The pressure is 956mb. Isabel may weaken a little more in the short term, though there is a chance of some re-intensification before the system reaches the coast. Isabel still has the potential to make landfall as a major hurricane, which is a hurricane with winds in excess of 111 m.p.h. This is capable of producing extensive damage.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. ADT 9/16/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #42

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues to weaken, though it remain as a powerful hurricane as it moves toward the coast of the Mid Atlantic USA. Isabel still has the potential to become a major hurricane at the time of landfall. All residents form North Carolina through New England should have begun preliminary storm preparations and any advanced preparations as directed by local emergency management officials.

High waves will continue to affect the U.S. East Coast and could brow to heights in excess of 15 feet. This may cause coastal flooding well before the storm makes landfall.

NWHHC now does recommend a hurricane watch later today for a portion of the U.S. East Coast. In addition, an official hurricane watch will likely also be issued. Please consult with local emergency management officials for the latest official watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 26.9N and 70.8W. This places the center about 650 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NW near 7 m.p.h. A NNW track, and acceleration, is expected until the time of landfall, which is expected anywhere between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and the Delmarva Peninsula on Thursday.

Maximum winds have decreased to near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is 960mb. Isabel is expected to slowly weaken until landfall; however, this is capable of producing extensive damage.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

2 P.M. ADT 9/16/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #43

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel continues to head toward the coast of North Carolina. Landfall is expected on Thursday. However, due to the very large size of this hurricane, the effects extend well away from the eye and will begin to reach the coast sometime tomorrow. While the system is not expected to make landfall as a major hurricane at the present time, it is still expected to remain strong and be capable of producing significant wind and storm surge damage. Therefore, residents of the Mid Atlantic Coast cannot become complacent.

There are numerous evacuation orders that have been issued. Many of these regard the Outer Banks of North Carolina. It is essential that everyone who is ordered to leave does so. These orders are for your own safety. failure to leave may place your life in danger.

High waves continue along much of the U.S. east coast. these waves have the potential to produce coastal flooding, which may hamper the evacuation efforts that are currently underway. Therefore, do not wait until the last minute to leave, if you are ordered to evacuate.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Cape Fear, north Carolina to Delaware Bay. The recommended watch is now being extended to include all of the Chesapeake Bay and tributaries. An official Hurricane watch has been issued by the National Hurricane Center from New River Inlet, South Carolina to Chincoteague, Virginia. Please double check with local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane WARNING later tonight or early tomorrow morning, and an official Hurricane WARNING will likely be issued tonight.

Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for storm statements related to your area. These statements include precise evacuation orders, as well as flood and severe weather watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 27.5N and 71.2W. This places the center about 580 miles to the south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 7 m.p.h. A bend more to the NW, with an acceleration is expected over the next couple of days, bringing the center inland sometime on Thursday.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is 959mb. Some further weakening before landfall is expected; however, all indications are that the significant weakening has ended and that Isabel will still remain a large and powerful hurricane when it makes landfall, one that is capable of producing significant damage.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/16/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #44

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Cape Fear, North Carolina to Delaware Bay. The recommended watch is now being extended to include all of the Chesapeake Bay and tributaries. An official Hurricane watch has been issued by the National Hurricane Center from New River Inlet, South Carolina to Chincoteague, Virginia. As well as Chesapeake Bay south of North Beach, Maryland and the Tidal Potomac. Double check with local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane WARNING later tonight or early tomorrow morning, and an official Hurricane WARNING will likely be issued tonight.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 27.7N and 71.4W. This places the center about 560 miles to the south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 7 m.p.h. A bend more to the NW, with an acceleration is expected over the next couple of days, bringing the center inland sometime on Thursday.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is 959mb. Steady intensity or some slight weakening is expected for the next 24 hours followed by brief strenghtening before landfall. Hurricane Isabel is expected to be a powerful hurricane at landfall and capable of producing damage to parts of the U.S. east coast.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

11 P.M. ADT 9/16/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #46

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Cape Fear, North Carolina to Delaware Bay. The recommended watch is now being extended to include all of the Chesapeake Bay and tributaries. An official Hurricane warning has been issued by the National Hurricane Center from New River Inlet, South Carolina to Chincoteague, Virginia. As well as Chesapeake Bay south of North Beach, Maryland and the Tidal Potomac. An official tropical storm watch has been issued from New River Inlet, SC south to South Santee, SC and from Chincoteague, VA to Little Egg Inlet, New Jersey. Double check with local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane WARNING early tomorrow morning.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 28.5N and 71.7W. This places the center about 540 miles to the south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 7 m.p.h. A bend more to the NW, with an acceleration is expected over the next couple of days, bringing the center inland sometime on Thursday.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is 956mb. Steady intensity is expected up unil landfall. Hurricane Isabel is expected to be a powerful hurricane at landfall and capable of producing damage to parts of the U.S. east coast.

Next Update: 2 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

2 A.M. ADT 9/17/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #47

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Isabel continues to move slowly toward the coast of North Carolina. However, an acceleration is expected to begin later this morning and into early this afternoon, with a landfall expected sometime tomorrow. However, conditions will begin to deteriorate long before the arrival of the eye and the eye wall. Therefore, all storm preparations need to be completed today. Hurricane Isabel is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it makes landfall, and it is capable of producing significant damage for a large stretch of the coastline.

Isabel is also expected to significantly affect the North Carolina sounds. residents living on the sounds also need to prepare as if they lived on the ocean.

Continue to comply with all evacuation orders that are given to you by local emergency management officials. Do not wait until the last minute to leave due to the deteriorating weather conditions. Do not try and ride out this storm. if ordered to evacuate, do so. Failure to do so will place your lives in danger.

High waves continue for the U.S. east Coast. Coastal flooding is expected well before the hurricane makes landfall. This could flood critical evacuation roads, especially along the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Cape Fear, North Carolina to Delaware Bay, including all of the Chesapeake Bay. At 5 A.M., a Hurricane WARNING will be recommended from Cape Fear, North Carolina to but not including the Chesapeake Bay. The National Hurricane Center has already issued an official Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear, North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia Border, and has a Hurricane Watch in effect from Cape Fear to Little River Inlet, South Carolina and north of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague, Virginia. In addition, there are Tropical Storm Watches that have been issued to the north and the south of the NHC Hurricane watch area. Please confirm anything official with local emergency management officials.

Click here to access a local National Weather Service office. By doing this, you will be able to receive hurricane statements regarding your particular area, which include detailed evacuations, and any severe weather or flood watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 29.0N and 72.0W. This places the eye about 480 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 8 m.p.h. This track should gradually accelerate until landfall, which is expected on the Outer Banks of North Carolina sometime tomorrow.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is 957mb. Little change in intensity is expected before landfall occurs; however, minor fluctuations in intensity can always occur. In any event, Isabel is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it makes landfall and is expected to be capable of producing significant damage.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. EDT 9/17/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #48

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel continues to move toward the coast of North Carolina. Landfall is expected either late tomorrow morning or early tomorrow afternoon. However, conditions will begin to deteriorate long before the arrival of the eye. Therefore, it is essential that all storm preparations be completed today. Hurricane Isabel is expected to change little from its present intensity before making landfall. A storm of this size and magnitude is capable of producing significant damage along a wide stretch of coastline.

Besides affecting the ocean front, Hurricane Isabel is also expected to affect the sounds of North Carolina as well. Residents living on these sounds need to prepare as if they are living on the Outer Banks.

It is essential to comply with any and all evacuation orders that have been issued. Large stretches of the North Carolina Coast are under or will soon be under mandatory evacuations. Consult with local emergency management officials for information regarding any evacuations in your area. Failure to comply with these orders may place your life in danger.

Expected impacts on land:
North Carolina Outer Banks: Wind gusts in excess of 100 m.p.h., along with storm surge heights of roughly 8-10 feet.
North Carolina Sounds: Wind gusts approaching 100 m.p.h., along with storm surge heights approaching 10 feet.
Coastal Virginia: Hurricane force wind gusts along with storm surge flooding approaching 6 feet.
Entire region: Isolated tornadoes, along with rainfall accumulations between 5 and 10 inches can be expected

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear, north Carolina northward to but not including the Chesapeake Bay. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane watch for the Chesapeake Bay and north of the warning area to the Delaware Bay. The National Hurricane Center has issued an official Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear to the North Carolina/Virginia Border. In addition, they have issued a Hurricane watch from Cape Fear to Little River Inlet, South Carolina and north of the North Carolina/Virginia Border to Chincoteague Virginia, including all of the Chesapeake Bay. In addition, there are Tropical Storm watches that have been issued to the north and the south of the Hurricane Watch area. Please consult with local emergency management officials to confirm the official watches and warnings as they are subject to change with little notice.

Click Here to access a local National Weather Service office for any local hurricane statements regarding your area. These statements include any evacuations as well as severe weather or flood watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 29.5N and 72.0W. This places the eye about 450 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 10 m.p.h. This general track, with a gradual acceleration is expected during the next couple of days. This is expected to bring the system inland either late tomorrow morning or tomorrow afternoon. it should be noted that Hurricane Isabel is expected to cross Lake Ontario late Friday or early Saturday.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The latest recon pressure is 958mb. Little change in intensity is expected before the eye moves on-shore. Isabel is expected to remain as a very dangerous hurricane that is capable of producing significant damage.

Next Update: 8 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2 P.M. EDT 9/17/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #51

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel continues to move toward the coast of North Carolina. Landfall is expected early tomorrow afternoon. However, conditions will begin to deteriorate long before the arrival of the eye. In fact, outer rain bands are beginning to move onshore in North Carolina. Therefore, it is essential that all storm preparations be completed today. Hurricane Isabel is expected to change little from its present intensity before making landfall. A storm of this size and magnitude is capable of producing significant damage along a wide stretch of coastline.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear, North Carolina northward to Cape May, New Jersey including the entire Chesapeake Bay. The National Hurricane Center has issued an official Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear to the Chincoteague, VA including the Chesapeake south of Smith Point, VA. In addition, they have issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Cape Fear to Little River Inlet, South Carolina and from Chincoteague Virginia to Sandy Hook, NJ, including the Chesapeake Bay north of Smith Point, VA. Please consult with local emergency management officials to confirm the official watches and warnings as they are subject to change with little notice.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 30.4N and 72.7W. This places the eye about 400 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 10 m.p.h. This general track, with a gradual acceleration is expected during the next couple of days. This is expected to bring the system inland tomorrow afternoon. It should be noted that Hurricane Isabel is expected to cross Lake Ontario late Friday or early Saturday.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The latest recon pressure is 956mb. Little change in intensity is expected before the eye moves on-shore. Isabel is expected to remain as a very dangerous hurricane that is capable of producing significant damage.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 P.M. EDT 9/17/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #52

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 31.1N and 73.3W. This places the eye about 325 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 14 m.p.h. This general track, with a gradual acceleration is expected during the next couple of days. This is expected to bring the system inland tomorrow afternoon. It should be noted that Hurricane Isabel is expected to cross Lake Ontario late Friday or early Saturday.

Maximum winds are near 105 m.p.h. The latest recon pressure is 955mb. Little change in intensity is expected before the eye moves on-shore. Isabel is expected to remain as a very dangerous hurricane that is capable of producing significant damage.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

8 P.M. EDT 9/17/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #53

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

The outer rainbands of Hurricane Isabel are very near the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Rainfall will soon begin to fall and the winds will increase to tropical storm force during the next few hours. In addition, the storm surge will slowly build, until the hurricane force winds move on shore, at which time, the surge will rise rapidly. Therefore, all storm preparations should have been completed by now.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear, North Carolina northward to Cape May, New Jersey including the entire Chesapeake Bay. The National Hurricane Center has issued an official Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear to the Chincoteague, VA including the Chesapeake south of Smith Point, VA. In addition, they have issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Cape Fear to Little River Inlet, South Carolina and from Chincoteague Virginia to Sandy Hook, NJ, including the Chesapeake Bay north of Smith Point, VA. Please consult with local emergency management officials to confirm the official watches and warnings as they are subject to change with little notice.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 31.5N and 73.5W. This places the eye about 300 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 14 m.p.h. This general track, with a gradual acceleration is expected during the next couple of days. This is expected to bring the system inland tomorrow afternoon. It should be noted that Hurricane Isabel is expected to cross Lake Ontario late Friday or early Saturday.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. EDT 9/17/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #54

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Isabel is now bringing rainfall to coastal North Carolina. Conditions will continue to deteriorate until the storm makes landfall, which is expected tomorrow afternoon. All storm preparations should have been completed by now as tropical storm force winds and coastal flooding are expected to begin occurring in a few hours.

Besides affecting the ocean front, residents living on the North Carolina sounds need to prepare as if they were living on the ocean front as conditions will be very similar.

Residents that have yet to evacuate and who have been ordered to do so need to do so within the next few hours. Do not think that you are safe along the coast if you are under a mandatory evacuation order. These orders are issued for your safety. Failure to comply with these orders may result in your life being placed in danger or the loss of your life.

Expected impacts on land:
Outer Banks of North Carolina: Winds approaching 100 m.p.h. with higher gusts. In addition, tidal surges approaching 10 feet can be expected, with wave heights approaching 30 feet. Significant storm surge damage is expected from this hurricane.
North Carolina Sounds: Wind gusts approaching 100 m.p.h., along with tidal surges approaching 10 feet. Wave heights should be somewhat less.
Coastal Virginia: Wind gusts approaching hurricane force, along with tidal surges approaching 6 feet.
Entire area: Rainfall accumulations between 5 and 10 inches, along with isolated tornadoes.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING from cape Fear, North Carolina north to the Delaware/New Jersey border, including all of the Chesapeake and Delaware Bays. The National Hurricane center has issued an official Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear to Chincoteague, Virginia, including the portion of the Chesapeake Bay that is in the state of Virginia. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued by NHC from Cape Fear to the South Santee River in South Carolina and from Chincoteague, Virginia to sandy Hook, New Jersey. Please confirm anything official with local emergency management officials.

Click here to access a local National Weather Service office. Here, local hurricane statements are issued, containing any evacuation information, along with any severe weather and flood watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 31.9N and 73.5W. This places the center about 250 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 13 m.p.h. An acceleration is expected, bringing the center inland tomorrow. However, as previously stated, conditions are already beginning to deteriorate along with coast and will continue to do so overnight.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is 956mb. Little change in intensity is expected before the system makes landfall. This means, Isabel is expected to make landfall as a dangerous category 2 hurricane, that is capable of producing significant damage over a large portion of the coastline due to its large size.

Next Update: 2 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2 A.M. EDT 9/18/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #55

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Winds are gusting to tropical storm force along the North Carolina Coast as Hurricane Isabel continues to close into the region. Conditions will continue to worsen throughout the morning until the center crosses the coast.

Residents living on the shores of the North Carolina Sounds need to prepare as if they are living along the coast of the Atlantic Ocean as conditions will be similar on the sounds as they are on the ocean.

Residents who have been ordered to evacuate by local emergency management officials who have decided to remain in harms way need to leave immediately as conditions will continue to deteriorate. Refer to local emergency management officials for details regarding any mandatory evacuations. Failure to comply with these orders may result in your life being placed in danger.

Expected impacts on land:
Outer banks of North Carolina: Sustained winds approaching 100 m.p.h. along with higher gusts. In addition, storm surge heights will be approaching 10 feet with higher waves. The potential is there for extensive storm surge damage.
North Carolina Sounds: Wind gusts approaching 100 m.p.h. along with storm surge heights approaching 10 feet. Smaller storm surge heights are expected in the rivers leading into the sounds. Waves should be less than on the Outer Banks.
Virginia Coast: Wind gusts approaching 7 m.p.h. with storm surge heights approaching 6 feet.
Entire area: rainfall accumulations of 5-10 inches and isolated tornadoes are possible from this hurricane.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear, North Carolina north to the Delaware/New Jersey Border, including all of the Chesapeake Bay. The National Hurricane Center has issued an official Hurricane WARNING from cape fear, North Carolina northward to Chincoteague, Virginia, including all of the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued south of Cape Fear to the Santee River in South Carolina and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook, New Jersey, including the Chesapeake Bay north of Smith Point. Please refer to local emergency management officials for any changes to these official watches and warnings.

Click Here to access a local National Weather Service office. Here, you will find statements regarding your area, including evacuation information, as well as any severe weather or flood watches or warnings.

Currently, the center/eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 32.6N and 74.3W. This places the center about 200 miles SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 15 m.p.h. This general track should continue, with an acceleration, bringing the storm inland early in the afternoon hours today.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is 957mb. Little change in intensity is expected before Isabel makes landfall. This system remains quite intense and has the potential to produce significant damage.

It needs to be noted that the current forecast takes Isabel across Lake Ontario as a tropical storm on Friday.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. ADT 9/18/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #56

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Wind and rain continue for North Carolina as Isabel continues to close in on the coast. Peak wind gusts so far from an official reporting station is 41 m.p.h. at Beaufort, North Carolina. Wind gusts at Cape Lookout from the buoy are near 53 m.p.h. and winds are sustained at tropical storm force. To the north at Duck, North Carolina, sustained tropical storm force winds have also been reported. Further offshore, frying pan Shoals has recorded sustained winds of 51 m.p.h. with wind gusts to 57 m.p.h. These winds will be moving on-shore later this morning.

Residents living on the North Carolina Sounds should have prepared as if they lived on the Outer Banks. Conditions will be similar in terms of winds and storm surge heights on the sounds as they are on the Outer Banks.

All storm preparations and evacuations should have been completed by now. Conditions are beginning to deteriorate rapidly along the coast of North Carolina.

Expected impacts on land:
North Carolina Outer Banks: Winds increasing up to 100 m.p.h. with higher gusts. In addition, storm surge heights approaching 10 feet, with higher waves.There is the potential for significant storm surge damage.
North Carolina Sounds: Wind gusts approaching 100 m.p.h. with storm surge heights approaching 10 feet. Storm surge heights of about 5 feet can be expected in the rivers. Waves should be less that for the Outer Banks.
Coastal Virginia: Wind gusts to hurricane force along with storm surge heights approaching 6 feet.
Entire area: rainfall accumulations of 5-10 inches along with isolated tornadoes. These conditions will spread inland along with the path of the storm.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear, North Carolina north to the Maryland/Delaware Border and for the entire Chesapeake Bay. NWHHC no longer recommends any watches or warnings north of Maryland. The National Hurricane Center continues to issue a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear to Chincoteague, Virginia, as well as for the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Cape Fear to the Santee River in South Carolina and from Chincoteague to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Confirm all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Click Here to access a local National Weather Service office. Here you will find statements about the hurricane regarding your community. These include any evacuations as well as severe weather and flood watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Isabel is located near 33.0N and 74.6W. This places the center about 160 miles to the SSE of cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 15 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue, bringing Isabel across the Outer Banks in 6 to 9 hours and on the mainland in about 12 hours.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 957mb. Little change in intensity is expected before landfall, followed by the typical weakening once inland.

It needs to be noted that Isabel is expected to bring rough weather to the Lake Ontario region, and now possibly the western Lake Erie region as well. There is the potential for Isabel to retain tropical storm intensity up to the great lakes.

Next Update: 7 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. EDT 9/18/2003 HURRICANE ISABEL UPDATE #57

This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center

Dangerous Hurricane Isabel is bringing tropical storm conditions to North Carolina. There are numerous reports of tropical storm force sustained winds and wind gusts in excess of 50 m.p.h. Conditions will continue to deteriorate throughout the morning as the eye approaches the coast. Hurricane force winds are expected to arrive on-shore in about 3 hours, with the arrival of the eye shortly afterwards.

Residents of the North Carolina sounds should have made all necessary storm preparations as if they live on the Outer banks as conditions will be similar on the sounds as experienced on the Outer Banks.

All storm preparations and necessary evacuations should have been completed a long time ago. Those who have decided to remain should be seeking shelter at this time before the hurricane force winds arrive.

Expected impacts on land:
North Carolina Outer Banks: Winds should continue to increase up to 100 m.p.h., with the potential for higher gusts. The worst of the conditions should be from Kill Devil Hills to Morehead City, though areas outside of this will still receive hurricane force winds. Storm surge heights are expected to be about 10 feet with wave heights up to 30 feet on top of the surge, which is capable of producing extensive storm surge damage.
North Carolina sounds: Wind may gust up to 100 m.p.h. and storm surge heights are expected to reach up to 10 feet. Storm surge heights in the rivers could reach up to 5 feet. The worst of the sounds is likely to be Pamlico Sound. Wave heights are not expected to be as high in the sounds as on the Outer Banks.
Coastal Virginia: Wind gusts to hurricane force along with storm surge heights approaching 6 feet.
Entire area: rainfall accumulations of 5-10 inches as well as isolated tornadoes. These effects will be spreading inland along the path of Isabel.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING from cape Fear, North Carolina to the Maryland/Delaware Border, including all of the Chesapeake Bay. The National Hurricane Center continues to issue a Hurricane WARNING from Cape Fear to Chincoteague Virginia, as well as the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the remainder of the Chesapeake Bay, as well as to the south of Cape Fear to the Santee River in South Carolina and from Chincoteague to Moriches Inlet in New York. Please confirm all official watches and warnings with local emergency management officials.

Click Here to access a local National Weather Service office. Here you will find local hurricane statements for your community, which include any severe weather or flood watches and warnings.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Isabel is located near 33.6N and 74.9W. This places the eye about 140 miles to the SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNW near 15 m.p.h. This track is expected to accelerate, bringing the eye on-shore in a few hours just to the south of or near the Cape Hatteras area. However, as previously stated, hurricane conditions are expected to spread well away from the eye.

Maximum winds remain near 105 m.p.h. The pressure is 956mb. Little change in intensity is expected before landfall.

It needs to be noted that Isabel is expected to impact the great lakes region as a tropical storm tomorrow.

Next Update: 9 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

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