10 P.M. CDT 8/14/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #2
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika forms in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and is expected to become a hurricane befor maaking landfall. Residents of the western Gulf Coast are urged not to repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make preparations before the storm reaches the area.
NWHHC does not recommend any watches or warnings, but will likely do so tomorrow morning. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page for the official watches and warnings.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.6N and 86.5W. This places the system about 600 miles east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is to the west near 20 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue, bringing the system inland on Saturday.
Maximum winds are 40 m.p.h. The pressure is 1008mb. Continued intensification is expected and Erika is expected to become a hurricane before landfall.
Forecaster: Cangialosi
4 A.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #3
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Mexico north of 25N to Port OConnor, Texas. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page for the official watches and warnings. One note about the official watches and warnings. The NHC forecast has this becoming a hurricane before landfall; therefore, what is on that page may rapidly change with little notice as word comes in.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.3N and 89.4W. This places the center about 500 miles east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is to the west near 23 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue until landfall, which is expected within the next 24 hours.
Maximum winds are near 45 m.p.h. The pressure is 1009mb. Rapid intensification into a hurricane is still expected before the center makes landfall. Therefore, hurricane preparations should be made in the Texas coastal areas.
Next Update: 7 A.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
7 A.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #4
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika continues rapidly to the west toward the coast of Texas. In addition, the storm is begining to intensity and is expected to make alandfall at or very near hurricane intensity. Residents of Texas need not repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make their storm preparations today before conditions begin to deteriorate later this evening and overnight. In addition, hede all orders and advice given by local emergency management officials, including all evacuation orders that may be issued.
NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the area between the east coast of Mexico at 25N to Port OConnor, Texas. Please see the Official Alerts Page or local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. it needs to be noted that the official watches and warnings may change at any time.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.1N and 90.5W. This places the center about 450 miles east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is to the west near 23 m.p.h. This track is expected to conitnue over the enxt day or so, bringing the system inland in the wee hours of tomorrow morning near the Texas/Mexican border. however, the worst of the rain and wind remains on the northern side and with the rapid motion, conditions will be much worse to the north of the center than to the south.
Maximum winds have increased to 50-55 m.p.h. This is based upon the latest recon data. The pressure is 1008mb. Erika is somewhat sheared, but the environment remains very favorable for further intensification and a period of rapid to explosive intensification is possible before landfall. In any event, erika is expected to be at or near hurricane intensity by the time it makes landfall.
Next Update: 10 A.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
10 A.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #5
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika continues to move rapidly toward the coast of Texas and northern Mexico. Landfall is still expected in the wee hours of the morning as a hurricane. The greatest threat from this system is heavy rainfall and coastal flooding. The winds are not currently expected to be strong enough to produce any significant damage.
Do not repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make all storm preparations today and not wait until the storm is making landfall to make the preparations. In addition, it is essential to follow any and all advice given by local emergency management officials.
NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the areas between the Gulf Coast of Mexico at 25N and Port OConnor, Texas. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page or local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. One note: These official warnings are subject to change with little notice as they are issued by the National Hurricane Center.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.0N and 91.5W. This places the center about 350 miles to the east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is slightly to the south of due west near 21 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue until the time of landfall tomorrow. However, the worst of the weather extends well north and west of the center; therefore, conditions will begin to deteriorate well before the center makes landfall.
Maximum winds remain between 50 and 55 m.p.h. The pressure is 1008mb. Intensification into or near category 1 hurricane intensity is expected before Erika makes landfall. The winds are not expected to be intense enough to result in any significant damage for the areas that will be affected.
Next Update: 1 P.M.
Forecaster: Ortt
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1 P.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #6
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika continues to move rapidly toward the coast of Texas and northern Mexico. Landfall is still expected in the wee hours of the morning as a hurricane. The greatest threat from this system is heavy rainfall and coastal flooding. The winds are not currently expected to be strong enough to produce any significant damage.
Do not repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make all storm preparations today and not wait until the storm is making landfall to make the preparations. In addition, it is essential to follow any and all advice given by local emergency management officials.
NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the areas between the Gulf Coast of Mexico at 25N and Port OConnor, Texas. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page or local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. One note: These official warnings are subject to change with little notice as they are issued by the National Hurricane Center.
Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.0N and 92.5W. This places the center about 300 miles to the east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is slightly to the south of due west near 23 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue until the time of landfall tomorrow. However, the worst of the weather extends well north and west of the center; therefore, conditions will begin to deteriorate well before the center makes landfall.
Maximum winds remain between 50 and 55 m.p.h. The pressure is 1008mb. Intensification into or near category 1 hurricane intensity is expected before Erika makes landfall. The winds are not expected to be intense enough to result in any significant damage for the areas that will be affected.
Next Update: 4 P.M.
Forecaster: Cangialosi
Back to Archives4 P.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #7
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika continues to move rapidly toward the coast of Texas and northern Mexico. Landfall is still expected in the wee hours of the morning as a hurricane. The greatest threat from this system is heavy rainfall and coastal flooding. The winds are not currently expected to be strong enough to produce any significant damage.
Do not repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make all storm preparations today and not wait until the storm is making landfall to make the preparations. In addition, it is essential to follow any and all advice given by local emergency management officials.
NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the areas between the Gulf Coast of Mexico at 25N and Port OConnor, Texas. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page or local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. One note: These official warnings are subject to change with little notice as they are issued by the National Hurricane Center.
Erika is racing towards the Texas/Mexico border. Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.0N and 93.5W. This places the center about 250 miles to the east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is slightly to the south of due west near 23 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue until the time of landfall tomorrow. However, the worst of the weather extends well north and west of the center; therefore, conditions will begin to deteriorate well before the center makes landfall.
Recon observed flight level winds of 58KT in the SE quadrant, because most of the convection is ahead of the center maximum winds are estimated to be near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is 1000mb. Intensification into or near category 1 hurricane intensity is expected before Erika makes landfall. The winds are not expected to be intense enough to result in any significant damage for the areas that will be affected.
Next Update: 7 P.M.
Forecaster: Cangialosi
Back to Archives7 P.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #8
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika continues to move rapidly toward the coast of Texas and northern Mexico. Landfall is still expected in the wee hours of the morning as a hurricane. The greatest threat from this system is heavy rainfall and coastal flooding. The winds are not currently expected to be strong enough to produce any significant damage.
Do not repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make all storm preparations today and not wait until the storm is making landfall to make the preparations. In addition, it is essential to follow any and all advice given by local emergency management officials.
NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the areas between the Gulf Coast of Mexico at 25N and Port OConnor, Texas. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page or local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. One note: These official warnings are subject to change with little notice as they are issued by the National Hurricane Center.
Erika is racing towards the Texas/Mexico border. Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.0N and 94.5W. This places the center about 180 miles to the east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is slightly to the west near 23 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue until the time of landfall tomorrow. However, the worst of the weather extends well north and west of the center; therefore, conditions will begin to deteriorate well before the center makes landfall.
Recon observed flight level winds of 58KT in the SE quadrant, because most of the convection is ahead of the center maximum winds are estimated to be near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is 998mb. Intensification into or near category 1 hurricane intensity is expected before Erika makes landfall. The winds are not expected to be intense enough to result in any significant damage for the areas that will be affected.
Next Update: 10 P.M.
Forecaster: Cangialosi
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10 P.M. CDT 8/15/2003 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA UPDATE #9
This is an independent product and not from the National Hurricane Center
Erika continues to move rapidly toward the coast of Texas and northern Mexico. Landfall is still expected in the wee hours of the morning as a hurricane. The greatest threat from this system is heavy rainfall and coastal flooding. Several inches of rain is expected in Erika's path. The winds are not currently expected to be strong enough to produce any significant damage.
Do not repeat the mistakes of Claudette and make all storm preparations today and not wait until the storm is making landfall to make the preparations. In addition, it is essential to follow any and all advice given by local emergency management officials.
NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the areas between the Gulf Coast of Mexico at 25N and Port OConnor, Texas. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page and local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings. One note: These official warnings are subject to change with little notice as they are issued by the National Hurricane Center.
Erika is racing towards the Texas/Mexico border. Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Erika is located near 26.0N and 95.5W. This places the center about 130 miles to the east of Brownsville, Texas. The motion is due west near 21 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue until the time of landfall in about 6 hours. However, the worst of the weather is just off the South Texas/North Mexico coast.
Maximum winds are estimated to be near 70 m.p.h. The pressure is 992mb. Intensification into a category 1 hurricane intensity is expected before Erika makes landfall. The winds are not expected to be intense enough to result in any significant damage for the areas that will be affected.
Next Update: 1 A.M.
Forecaster: Cangialosi