Hurricane Charley Archive

2 P.M. AST 8/9/2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 UPDATE #1

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Surface observations indicate that Tropical Depression 3 has formed over the Windward Islands. Therefore, updates are now being issued. Tropical Depression 3 has been bringing wind gusts to tropical storm intensity to the Windward Islands today. These conditions are expected to continue for a few more hours before weakening.

All residents of the central and western Caribbean need to monitor the progress of this potentially dangerous tropical cyclone. This system has the potential to become a significant tropical storm or hurricane in a few days.

Currently, the center of Tropical Depression 3 is located near 11.7N and 61.1W. This places the center about 50 miles SE of Grenada. The motion is to the west near 20 m.p.h. This track should continue, with a slight north of west component, keeping the system north of the South American coast; however, there remains the chance for some heavy rainfall for the area, which could produce life threatening mudslides in the mountains.

Maximum winds are near 35 m.p.h. However, gusts are above tropical storm intensity. The pressure is estimated to be 1011mb. Significant intensification is expected due to the very favorable environment that this system will be encountering and this feature could eventually become a hurricane.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. AST 8/9/2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 UPDATE #2

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Tropical Depression 2 continues to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the Windward islands. Some of this activity may spread to South America during the next few hours.

All residents of the central and western Caribbean need to monitor the progress of this potentially dangerous tropical cyclone very closely as this has the potential to become a significant hurricane during the next few days as it moves to the WNW.

Currently, the center of Tropical Depression 3 is located near 12.7N and 62.5W. This places the center about 50 miles west of Grenada. The motion is slightly north of due west at 20 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue for the next day or two, before slowing and turning more to the WNW.

Maximum winds remain near 35 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1010mb. Slow development is expected during the enxt 24 to 36 hours and this system is expected to become a tropical storm later this evening or early tomorrow morning, with significant intensification afterwards.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. AST 8/9/2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 UPDATE #3

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Tropical Depression 3 nears tropical storm intensity as it clears the Lesser Antilles. Conditions have improved and will continue to do so. However, satellite imagery does show some heavy rainfall over south America, where there is a threat of flooding and mudslides.

Residents of the central and western Caribbean need to monitor the progress of this potentially dangerous tropical cyclone very closely over the next few days as this has the potential to develop into a significant hurricane before any possible landfall.

Currently, the center of Tropical Depression 3 is located near 12.7N and 64.5W. This places the center about 150 miles to the west of the Windward Islands. The motion is slightly north of due west near 20 m.p.h. This general track is expected to continue, bringing the storm toward the northwest Caribbean late in the week, and possibly toward the Gulf of Mexico over the week-end.

Maximum winds remian near 35 m.p.h., though the wind gusts are over tropical storm intensity. The rpessure is estimated to be 1008mb. Slow development is expected over the next day or so, before significant development is expected in the northwest Caribbean. This systsm likely will become a tropical storm tomorrow morning and eventually a hurricane.

Next Update: 6 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. AST 8/10/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #4

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Cahrley is intensifying in the eastern Caribbean and is moving in the general direction of Jamaica.

All residents of the central and western Caribbean need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely as this has the potential to become a very dangerous hurricane. NWHHC may recommend a Hurricane Watch for Jamaica later today.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 13.0N and 66.3W. This places the center about 450 miles SE of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic. The motion is to the WNW near 24 m.p.h. This general heading, with a slowdown is expected for the next few days, bringing the system near Jamaica sometime later tomorrow or Thursday.

Maximum winds are estimated to be near 40 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1005mb. Slow development is expected for about another day before significant intensification is expected to begin. This system is currently forecast to be a very dangerous hurricane in a few days.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. AST 8/10/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #5

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Charley continues to move toward the central and western Caribbean, in the general direction of Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. All residents of the central and western Caribbean need to monitor the progress of this potentially dangerous system very closely as it is expected to become a hurricane in the western Caribbean and possibly even stronger in the Gulf of Mexico.

NWHHC may recommend watches or warnings for Jamaica later today, depending upon what recon finds. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page or local officials for the official watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 13.7N and 68.3W. This places the center about 350 miles SSE of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic. The motion is to the WNW near 24 m.p.h. This track, with some reduction in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Currently, the center is expected to remain south of Jamaica, but heavy rainfall and winds are expected to spread over the island.

Maximum winds are now estimated to be near 45 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1004mb. Slow development is expected until the system moves into the western Caribbean, where significant development is expected. Charley does have the potential to become a very destructive hurricane in a few days.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. EDT 8/10/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #6

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Despite the disorganization, recon has found that Charley still has a closed circulation. While the major hurricane threat may be decreasing, residents of the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico need to closely monitor the progress of this system.

NWHHC may recommend a Tropical Storm Warning for Jamaica later this evening. Please refer to the Official Alerts Page for the official watches and warnings.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 15.3N and 70.8W. This places the center about 450 miles ESE of Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 25 m.p.h. This should slow gradually over the next few days and eventually turn to the north, possibly threatening the northern Gulf of Mexico over the week-end.

Maximum winds are estimated to be near 45 m.p.h. The pressure is 999mb. Due to the disorganization, little change in intensity is expected over the next couple of days, though Charley still is expected to become a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. EDT 8/10/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY SPECIAL UPDATE #7

Data from a recon aircraft indicate that Tropical Storm Charley has intensified significantly this afternoon and the period of disorganization has ended. Recon finds that the storm is nearing hurricane intensity. Residents of Jamaica need to complete all storm preparations by tomorrow morning as Charley is expected to near the island tomorrow afternoon.

Based upon the latest recon reports, it appears as if the threat of a significant hurricane has returned. Therefore, all residents of the western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico need to monitor this potentially dangerous tropical cyclone very closely over the next few days.

Heavy rainfall is currently spreading over the Dominican Republic and Haiti. There is the chance of flooding and mudslides in the mountain regions.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the island of Jamaica and a Hurricane Watch for the Cayman Islands. Please remember that these are only recommendations. The official watches and warnings can be found via the Official Alerts Page or from local officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 15.7N and 71.8W. This places the center about 365 miles ESE of Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 25 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue for a day or so, before slowing and turning more to the north.

Maximum winds have increased to near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is 999mb. Some further intensification is possible and this system could become a hurricane before interacting with Jamaica tomorrow afternoon.

Please note: The intensity forecast issued at 2100 UTC (5 p.m.) will be changed significantly upward at 0300 UTC (11 p.m.)

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. EDT 8/10/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #8

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Tropical Storm Charley continues to move toward Jamaica and is expected to impact the area early tomorrow afternoon. The Cayman Islands are then next in line. Currently, Charley is bringing heavy rainfall to Hispaniola, where there is the threat of life-threatening flooding and mudslides. High winds, and flooding is expected to spread into Jamaica tomorrow.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the Cayman Islands and continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica. NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch for all of Cuba west of 81W. Please remember that these are only recommendations. Refer to the Official Alerts Page or to local emergency management officials for the official watches and warnings.

Residents of the Florida Keys also need to monitor the progress of this potentially dangerous hurricane very closely, along with the remainder of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There are unconfirmed reports that actions may be taken tomorrow morning by emergency management officials in the keys. Please obey any orders that may be issued by local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 16.1N and 72.7W. This places the center about 300 miles ESE of Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 22 m.p.h. A gradual slowdown is expected, along with a turn more to the NW, bringing the system near Jamaica and the Caymans, across Cuba and into the southeast Gulf of Mexico within the next couple of days.

Maximum winds remain near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 997mb. Some further intensifictaion is expected and this system is expected to become a hurricane sometime tomorrow and has the potential to become a strong hurricane by the time it impacts Cuba and the Gulf of Mexico.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. EDT 8/11/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #9

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Tropical Storm Charley is bearing down on Jamaica and is expected to become a hurricane later today. All storm preparations should be completed within the next few hours before the high winds and heavy rainfall begin to spread across the island. The Cayman Islands are next in the path of Charley. Already, heavy rainfall has spread across parts of Hispaniola and more rainfall is expected today, which may cause flash flooding and life-threatening mudslides in the mountains.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands, as well as a Hurricane Watch for all of Cuba west of 81W. NWHHC will recommend a Hurricane Watch for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas at 8 A.M.. Please remember that these are only recommendations. The official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local officials.

Residents of the Florida Keys and the remiander of the eastern Gulf of Mexico also need to monitor the progress of Charley very carefully. There have been unconfirmed reports that action may be taken by emergency management officials in the Florida Keys. If any orders are given, please obey them.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 16.9N and 74.7W. This places the center about 160 miles ESE of Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 25 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue, bringing the storm across Jamaica later this morning and into the Cayman Islands tonight.

Maximum winds are estimated to remain 65m.p.h. The pressure is estimated ot be 995mb. Some intensification is expected. Charley should become a hurricane later this morning and has the potential to be a significant hurricane while in the Gulf of Mexico.

Next Update: 8 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 A.M. EDT 8/11/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #10

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Tropical Storm Charley is bearing down on Jamaica. Heavy rainfall is likely now occurring over the eastern portions of the Islands. Heavy rain is also likely still occurring over Haiti. In the mountain regions of these two countries, life-threatening flooding and mudslides can be expected. The next land area in the path of Charley after Jamaica is the Cayman Islands, followed by Cuba.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands and now recommends a Hurricane Watch for all of Cuba west of 80W. NWHHC will likely recommend a Hurricane WARNING for part of Cuba at 11 A.M. NWHHC also now recommends a Hurricane Watch for the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas to Marathon. Please remember that these are only recommendations. The official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents of the remainder of the eastern Gulf of Mexico need to closely monitor the progress of this system as well. NWHHC may recommend watches for parts of the west coast of Florida later today.

Please comply with any and all orders given by local emergency management officials.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 16.9N and 75.4W. This places the center about 115 miles SE of Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 20 m.p.h. This general track should continue, with a turn to the NW and eventually north, taking the storm across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Cuba, and into the southeast Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days, in the general direction of the lower Florida Keys.

Maximum winds remain near 65 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 995mb. Recon will soon report back on the actual intensity of Charlie. Further intensification is expected and Charley is expected to become a hurricane later today as it moves across Jamaica and toward the Cayman Islands.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. EDT 8/11/2004 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY UPDATE #11

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Tropical Storm Charley is bringing heavy rainfall to Jamaica and to extreme SW Haiti. Conditions will begin to improve soon over Haiti but will rapidly deteriorate this afternoon for Jamaica. This weather will spread into the Cayman Islands tonight and into Cuba tomorrow. Life threatening flash flooding and mudslides remain the greatest threats from Charley at the present time, though wind and surge will be the main threats for Cuba and the Florida Coast.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for Cuba from 81 to 85W. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba west of 85W and from 80-81W and for the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas to Marathon. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page, or from local emergency management officials.

Residents of the west coast of Florida also need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely. NWHHC will likely extend the recommended Hurricane Watch northward later this afternoon.

Currently, the center/eye of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 16.5N and 76.1W. This represents a slight southward relocation from the previous update This places the center about 110 miles SE of Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 18 m.p.h. A turn to the NW is expected in about a day or so, after passing over the Cayman Islands. The track is expected to move toward western Cuba and threaten the Florida Keys and the west coast of Florida during the next couple of days.

Maximum winds are near 70 m.p.h. The pressure is 995mb. Some further intensification is expected. Charley is expected to become a hurricane later today and make landfall in Cuba and Florida as a category 2 storm.

Next Update: 2 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2 P.M. EDT 8/11/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #11

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Hurricane Charley is tracking just south of Jamaica, however strong winds and heavy rainfall has begun early this morning for this island. Conditions are expected to continue to worsen over the next few hours. Charlie is expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds into Cuba, the Florida Keys and pennisula

Residents of the west coast of Florida also need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely. NWHHC will likely extend the recommended Hurricane Watch northward later this afternoon.

Currently, the center/eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 16.7N and 76.5W. The motion is to the WNW near 18 m.p.h. A turn to the NW is expected in about a day or so, after passing over the Cayman Islands. The track is expected to move toward western Cuba and threaten the Florida Keys and the west coast of Florida during the next couple of days.

Maximum winds are near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is 993mb. Some further intensification is expected. Charley is expected to strengthen some more and make landfall in Cuba and Florida as a category 2 storm.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

5 P.M. EDT 8/11/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #12

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Hurricane Charley is raking Jamaica with torrential rainfall and probable life-threatening flooding and mudslides. Theese conditions will spread into the Cayman Islands overnight tonight. In addition to the flooding, the Cayman Islands can expect wind gusts approaching 100 m.p.h. and a storm surge of up to 3-5 feet. These conditions will spread into Cuba tomorrow.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba from 81 to 85W. NWHHC continue to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba from 80 to 81W nd west of 85W and the the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas. NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch along the west coast of Florida from Naples southward to Marathon. NWHHC will in each update through 11 p.m. extend these farther northward. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Obey all orders given by local emergency management officials, especially evacuation orders. Failure to do so may place your life in danger.

Residents of the U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Charley very closely.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 17.0N and 77.5W. This places the center about 85 miles SW of Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 17 m.p.h. This track is expected to continue for the next 12hours or so, before turning more to the north, toward the Florida Keys and the west coast of Florida during the next 48 hours.

Maximum winds remain near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is 993mb. Significant intensification is expected and Charley is expected to make landfall in Cuba and Florida as a category 2 hurricane, capable of producing moderate to extensive damage, especially from storm surge on the west coast.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. EDT 8/11/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #13

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Hurricane Charley is battering Jamaica with torrential rainfall. It is probable that there is flooding and mudslides, some of which is likely life-threatening in the high mountains. Conditions will remain harsh on Jamaica for about 6 to 12 more hours. Conditions in the Cayman Islands are expected to deteriorate overnight as Charley approaches. Hurricane Charley is expected to make a direct hit on the Cayman Islands tomorrow morning. The effects will not only include flooding, but also wind gusts over 100 m.p.h. and tidal surges up to 5 feet. Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the west coast of Florida are expected to be impacted after the Cayman Islands.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba from 81 to 85W. NWHHC also continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba for 80 to 81W and west of 85W. In addition, NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and now for all of the west coast of Florida south of Ft Myers. This recommendation will be extended Sarasota at 11 P.M. Please remember that this is only a recommendation and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents of the U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of this system very closely as there is the potential for this to affect this coastline as a strong tropical storm after impacting Florida.

If local emergency management officials issue any evacuation orders, you need to comply with them. Failure to do so may place your life in danger.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Charley is located near 17.2N and 78.2W. This places the storm past Kingston, Jamaica and about 250 miles SE of Grand Cayman Island. The motion remains to the WNW near 17 m.p.h. This track should slow a little more and turn more to the NW then north, taking the storm across the Cayman Islands tomorrow morning or early afternoon, across Cuba tomorrow evening or Friday morning, and into the Florida Keys around midday on Friday.

Maximum winds remain near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is 993mb. Recon will soon provide information regarding the latest intensity. Steady intensification into a category 2 hurricane is expected before landfall on Cuba and this intensity is expected to be maintained until it makes landfall in Florida.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. EDT 8/11/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #14

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Hurricane Charley continues to batter Jamaica with torrential rain and tropical storm force winds. Conditions will slowly improve in Jamaica overnight as Charley moves into the northwest Caribbean, toward the Cayman Islands. Charley is expected to move into the Cayman Islands and not only bring flooding, but wind gusts up to 100 m.p.h. and a tidal surge of up to 5 feet. The hurricnae will then move into Cuba late tomorrow and into the Florida Keys on Friday with a landfall sometime early Friday afternoon in the cenral west coast of Florida.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba from 81 to 85W. NWHHC also continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba for 80 to 81W and west of 85W. In addition, NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and now for all of the west coast of Florida south of Sarasota. This recommendation will be extended northward and possible to the northern east coast of Florida tomorrow morning. Please remember that this is only a recommendation and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents of the entire U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of this system very closely as there is the potential for this to affect this coastline as a strong tropical storm after impacting Florida.

If local emergency management officials issue any evacuation orders, you need to comply with them. Failure to do so may place your life in danger.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Charley is located near 17.7N and 78.8W. This places the storm past Kingston, Jamaica and about 210 miles SE of Grand Cayman Island. The motion remains to the WNW near 15 m.p.h. This track should slow a little more and turn more to the NW then north, taking the storm across the Cayman Islands tomorrow morning or early afternoon, across Cuba tomorrow evening or Friday morning, and into the Florida Keys Friday morning.

Maximum winds remain near 75 m.p.h. The pressure is 993mb. Despite not intensifying further tonight, steady intensification into a category 2 hurricane is expected before landfall on Cuba and this intensity is expected to be maintained until it makes landfall in Florida.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. EDT 8/11/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #15

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Hurricane Charley intensifies as it moves away from Jamaica and near the Cayman Islands. Conditions are rapidly deteriorating on the Cayman Islands and will continue to do so throughout the morning. Wind gusts over 100 m.p.h., along with torrential rainfall and tidal surges over 5 feet can be expected from Charley. These conditions will spread into Cuba later this afternoon and overnight into the Florida Keys.

There is some concern about the effects to the city of Havana. Residents there need to take all necessary precautions to avoid a major disaster in the event of a direct hit on the city.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Cayman Islands and Cuba from 81 to 85W. This recommended warning will be extended northward along the west coast with each update. NWHHC also continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba for 80 to 81W and west of 85W. In addition, NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and now for all of the west coast of Florida south of Yankeetown and for all of the Florida Keys south and west of Key Largo. This recommendation will be extended later today to include the northern east coast of Florida. Please remember that this is only a recommendation and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

If local emergency management officials issue any evacuation orders, you need to comply with them. Failure to do so may place your life in danger.

Currently, the center of Hurricane Charley is located near 18.6N and 79.9W. This places the stormabout 120 miles SE of Grand Cayman Island. The motion remains to the NW near 14 m.p.h. This track should slow a little more and turn more to the NW then north, taking the storm across the Cayman Islands tomorrow morning or early afternoon, across Cuba tomorrow evening or Friday morning, and into the Florida Keys Friday morning.

Maximum winds have increased to near 90 m.p.h. The pressure is 988mb. While conditions are only marginal for intensification, Charley has managed to intensify. Charley is expected to make landfall in both Cuba and Florida as a category 2 storm. A storm of this magnitude is capable of producing moderate to extensive damage.

Next Update: 8 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 A.M. EDT 8/12/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #17

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Hurricane Charley is bearing down on the Cayman Islands. Conditions will continue to deteriorate throughout the day. Wind gusts over 100 m.p.h., tidal surges up to 5 feet, along with flooding due to heavy rainfall can be expected from this system. Some heavy rain is continuing in Jamaica; however, conditions will improve throughout the day. Conditions will deteriorate in western Cuba, including the City of Havana during the day as Charley approaches. The outer effects will start to spread into the Florida Keys later today.

All storm preparations should have been completed in the Cayman Islands. Storm preparations need to be completed by sunset in Cuba and by tonight in the Florida Keys. Residents of the west coast of Florida need to have their storm preparations complete by sunrise tomorrow, at the very latest.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the Florida west coast south of FT Myers. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Cayman Islands, Cuba between 81 and 85W, including Havana, and the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for the Florida west coast from Ft Myers to Yankeetown. The recommended warning will be extended northward to Tampa at 11 A.M. Recommended watches may be needed for the Florida East Coast later this afternoon. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents of the U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely.

Comply with all orders given by local emergency management officials, especially evacuation orders. Failure to do so may place your life in danger.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 19.2N and 80.5W. This places the eye just 40 miles east of Grand Cayman Island, between the Cayman Islands. However, conditions will soon deteriorate even further on all of the Cayman Islands. The motion is to the NW near 15 m.p.h. A turn more to the north is expected within the next 12 to 24 hours, bringing the storm across Cuba later today and into the Florida Keys tomorrow morning. Landfall on the Florida west coast is expected sometime early tomorrow afternoon.

Maximum winds remain near 90 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 988mb. Intensification into a category 2 hurricane is expected before making landfall in Cuba and this intensity is expected to be maintained until the landfall in Florida. A strong category 2 hurricane is capable of producing moderate to extensive damage.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. EDT 8/12/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #12

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Hurricane Charley is hammering the Cayman Islands. Very heavy rainfall and wind gusts well over hurricane force are likely occurring at Grand Cayman island and over the remainder of the Cayman Islands. Conditions will begin to improve this afternoon as Charley moves toward Cuba. Conditions will begin to deteriorate in Cuba later today and tonight as Charley approaches. Conditions also will deteriorate in the Florida Keys tonight. All storm preparations need to be completed in Cuba by this evening, especially in the Havana area, in the Florida Keys by tonight, and along the west coast of Florida by tomorrow morning.

There are now numerous mandatory evacuation orders that have been given in association with Hurricane Charley. It is essential that you comply with these orders. Failure to do so may result in the loss of your life.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for all of the Florida West Coast south of Tampa and this recommendation will be extended to Yankeetown at 2 p.m. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Cayman Islands, Cuba from 81-85W and for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas. NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane Watch for the East Coast of Florida from Daytona Beach through Jacksonville. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba west of 85W and for Cuba from 80-81W. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents farther up the East Coast of the United States also need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely as Charley is expected to affect most of the east coast.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 19.7N and 79.9W. This places the eye less than 30 miles from Grand Cayman Island. The motion is to the NW near 16 m.p.h. A turn more to the NNW then north is expected within the next 12-24 hours, taking the eye across Cuba tonight and into Florida tomorrow afternoon.

Maximum winds remain near 90 m.p.h. The pressure is 983mb. As atmospheric conditions become more favorable for development, Charley is expected to intensify into a category 2 hurricane before making landfall in Cuba and there is the potential for Charley to make landfall in Florida as a category 3 hurricane.

Next Update: 2 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2 P.M. EDT 8/12/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #19

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Hurricane Charley is pulling away from the Cayman Islands and is heading toward Cuba, while intensifying. Conditions will continue to improve in the Cayman Islands and will rapidly deteriorate in Cuba throughout the remainder of the day today and will begin to deteriorate tonight in the Florida Keys. All storm preparations need to be completed by sundown in Cuba, especially the city of Havana, by midnight in the Keys and by tomorrow morning on the west coast of Florida.

There are numerous mandatory evacuations that have been issued. It is essential that you comply with these if you are in a mandatory evacuation zone. Failure to do so may result in the loss of your life.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the entire west coast of Florida south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Cayman Islands, Cuba from 81-85W and for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba west of 85, Cuba from 80-81W, and for the east coast of Florida from Daytona Beach to Jacksonville. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents of the remainder of the U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Charley very closely. There is the potential for Charley to move up the East Coast as a significant weather system at a rapid rate of speed, which will reduce the amount of lead time one may receive.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 20.2N and 81.5W. This places the eye about 55 miles NNW of Grand Cayman Island. The motion is to the NW near 15 m.p.h. A turn more to the NNW then north is expected during the next 12-24 hours, bringing the storm across Cuba overnight, into Florida tomorrow, then possibly up the East Coast over the week-end.

Maximum winds are near 95 m.p.h. The pressure is 980mb. Recent satellite imagery suggests that Charley may even be more intense. Further intensification is expected before landfall in Cuba to a category 2 hurricane, though it is possible for Charley to make landfall in Cuba as a category 3 hurricane. Charley is also expected to make landfall as a category 3 hurricane in Florida.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

UPDATE AS OF 1:45 EDT

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Latest recon data shows that Hurricane Charley has became a category 2 hurricane with maximum winds of 105 m.p.h. and the pressure is 981mb.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. EDT 8/12/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #20

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Hurricane Charley nears major hurricane status as it moves toward Havana, Cuba. If you are in the Havana area and are reading this update, please seek shelter immediately in a sturdy building to help advert a potential catastrophic situation. Conditions will begin to deteriorate across Cuba very soon as the hurricane approaches. Conditions are improving now in the Cayman Islands as Charley has moved passes the area. However, conditions will deteriorate this evening and tonight in the Florida Keys. Storm preparations need to be completed immediately in Cuba, by midnight in the Keys and by tomorrow morning on the west coast.

Heavy rainfall is expected all the way up the U.S. East Coast. Sevre flooding may occur as Bonnie is bringing rainfall to the same area at the present time.

There are evauation orders concerning hundreds of thousands of people in both Cuba and Florida. It is essential to continue to follow these orders. Staying in an evacuation zone may result in the loss of your life. A major hurricane is not something that can be ridden out from home near the Gulf of Mexico.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING Cuba from 81 to 85W, the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas to Marathon, and the entire Florida west coast south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Daytona Beach to Jacksonville and now recommends a Hurricane Watch all the way northward to Savannah, Georgia. The recommended watch for the east coast is now from Daytona Beach to Savannah. NWHHC also recommends a Hurricane Watch from Key Largo to Marathon and for Cuba west of 85W and from 80-81W. Remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials.

Residents farther up the U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely. Watches may have to be recommended into the Carolinas as early as tomorrow morning.

Currently, the eye of dangerous Hurricane Charley is located near 21.2N and 81.9W. This places the center just 140 miles SSE of Havana, Cuba. The motion is to the NNW near 15 m.p.h. This track should continue, and a direct hit is expected on Havana either late tonight or in the wee hours of the morning. Charley is then expected to make landfall in Florida tomorrow afternoon, after passing near the Dry Tortugas and Key West tomorrow morning. After landfall, Charley is expected to move up the East Coast of the United States.

Maximum winds have increased to near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 975mb. Continued intensification is expected before landfall at Cuba and Bonnie could make landfall as a major hurricane in Cuba and is expected to be a category 3 hurricane when it makes landfall in Florida. A category 3 hurricane devestates the immediate coastline and spreads extensive wind damage inland.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. EDT 8/12/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #22

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Hurricane Charley nears major hurricane status as it impinges on Havana, Cuba. If you are in the Havana area and are reading this update, please seek shelter immediately in a sturdy building to help advert a potential catastrophic situation. Conditions will deteriorate this tonight in the Florida Keys and southern pennisula. Storm preparations need to be completed immediatley in the Keys and by tomorrow morning on the west coast.

Heavy rainfall is expected all the way up the U.S. East Coast. Sevre flooding may occur as Bonnie is bringing rainfall to the same area at the present time.

Residents farther up the U.S. East Coast also need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely. Watches may have to be recommended into the Carolinas as early as tomorrow morning.

Currently, the eye of dangerous Hurricane Charley is located near 22.2 and 82.7 W. This places the center just 50 miles S of Havana, Cuba. The motion is to the NNW near 15 m.p.h. This track should continue, and a direct hit is expected on Havana either late tonight or in the wee hours of the morning. Charley is then expected to make landfall in Florida tomorrow afternoon, after passing near the Dry Tortugas and Key West tomorrow morning. After landfall, Charley is expected to move up the East Coast of the United States.

Maximum winds remain an intense 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 974mb. Continued intensification is expected before landfall near the Dry Tortugas and the Florida west-central coast tomorrow morning and afternoon. Thereafter weakening is likely as it shoots inland to the ENE.

Next Update: 2 A.M.

Forecaster: Cangialosi

2 A.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #23

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Hurricane Charley has made landfall in Cuba. The ey wall is now moving over the center of the city of Havana. We currently have no reports regarding the destruction that is likely occurring in the area. If you are in Havana and are reading this not from a safe room, get to the safe room immediately.

The outer bands of Hurricane Charley are spreading into the Florida Keys and across mainland South Florida. These outer bands contain very heavy rainfall, frequent lightening and the possibility of tornadoes. Conditions will rapidly deteriorate throughout the southwestern Florida Keys this morning until the storm moves past the area. Conditions will continue to deteriorate as well in mainland Florida.

Effects on Land:
Cuba (Havana): Severe wind damage is likely occurring. Florida Keys from Marathon to Key West: Possible hurricane force winds with wind gusts possibly appraoching 100 m.p.h. Tidal surges may reach 5-7 feet.
Florida Keys north and east of Marathon: Sustained winds between 50 and 70 m.p.h. with isolated gusts to hurricane force.
West Coast where the eye makes landfall: Complete destruction within 1 mile of the coastline and sevre wind damage inland. Damage will be worst in the eastern eye wall. Nearby area will also receive damage, though he degree will vary based upon distance and coastal shape. Winds may gust over 150 m.p.h. and tidal surges may be in excess of 15 feet.
Remainder of area: Heavy rainfall and the possibility of tornadoes.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for Cuba between 81 and 85W, the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas to Marathon and the entire west coast of Florida south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch for Cuba west of 85W and from 80 to 81W, for the Florida Keys from Marathon to Key Largo, and now from Melbourne, Florida to Savana, Georgia. A WARNING will be recommended for a portion of the east coast later today. A Tropical Storm Warning is now recommended for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings are available at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. In addition, there are numerous flood and severe weather warnings in effect. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service office for information regarding these warnings in your area.

Residents further up the East Coast need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely. Charley has the potential to affect the entire East Coast and bring strong winds and severe flooding for a large portion of the coast.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 22.8N and 82.5W. This places the eye very near Havana, Cuba. The motion is to the NNW near 15 m.p.h. A northerly then NNE track is expected, bringing the eye of Hurricane Charley inland tomorrow afternoon somewhere between Tampa and Ft Myers, and then up the East Coast of the United States.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 973mb. Further intensification is expected once the eye emerges into the southeast Gulf of Mexico. Charley is expected to make landfall as a strong category 3 hurricane. A category 3 hurricane is capable of producing significant to extensive damage.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #24

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Hurricane Charley has moved into the extreme southeast Gulf of Mexico and is starting to accelerate to the west, central coast of Florida. Landfall is expected just south of the Tampa bay area by only a few miles; however, any deviation to the north will bring the eye over downtown Tampa. Before reaching central Florida, Charley will move past the Florida Keys. Charley is not expected to make a direct hit on the islands; however, wind gusts well over hurricane force, along with tidal surges of up to 5 to 7 feet can be expected. Conditions have already begun to deteriorate very rapidly as the spiral rain bands of the hurricane have started to move over the area.

Hurricane Charley also has the potential to impact Orlando in a significant manner.

Conditions in Cuba are improving very rapidly as Charley has moved through the area. NWHHC does not currently have any reports of damage in the area.

Effects on land:
Cuba: Conditions are rapidly improving. Only the feeder bands on the backside of the storm are affecting the area. Florida Keys south and west of Marathon: Winds sustained near hurricane force with wind gusts well over hurricane force.
Florida Keys north and east of Marathon: Wind gusts of tropical storm force, isolated gusts may approach hurricane force in squalls.
Landfall zone: Complete devastation within 1 mile of the coast. Extensive damage inland. Winds may gust between 140 and 150 m.p.h. and tidal surges may reach 15 feet. If landfall is south of Tampa Bay, southern portions of the bay will be devastated, followed by eastern as the storm passes. To the north and south, winds will gust over 100 m.p.h., though regions to the south will experience tidal surges between 5 and 10 feet, while to the north significantly less.
Northeast Coast of Florida: Category 1 hurricane conditions are possible. Tidal flooding should be minor.
Throughout the area: Locally heavy rainfall and the threat of isolated tornadoes.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the U.S. East Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida through Savannah, Georgia and now recommends a Hurricane Watch from Savannah to Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and for the entire Florida west coast south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Melbourne, Florida to Daytona beach and a Tropical Storm Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. There are also numerous severe weather and flood watches and warnings. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service for more information for your area.

Residents farther up the east coast need to monitor the progress of Charley very closely as it will likely move into your area. There is the potential for severe flooding for a large portion of the East Coast region.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 23.8N and 82.8W. This places the eye about 300 miles south of Tampa, Florida. The motion is slightly west of due north near 15 m.p.h. An acceleration to the NNE is expected later today, resulting in a landfall very near Tampa, though just to the SE.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is 972mb. Some further increase in intensity is still expected before making landfall. Charley is expected to make landfall as a category 3 hurricane, which as previously stated is capable of extensive to severe damage.

Next Update: 7 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

7 A.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #25

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Hurricane Charley is making its anticipated northward turn and continues to accelerate. Landfall is expected this afternoon just south of the Tampa Bay area; however, any deviation to the north will bring the complete devastation to the center of Tampa. Currently, Charley is passing about 80 miles west of Key West, with only the outer bands currently affecting the islands. Conditions are deteriorating along the west coast of Florida as well and will rapidly do so throughout the day. All storm preparations should have been completed by now.

Hurricane Charley also has the potential for a significant impact on the city of Orlando. Residents there also need to be finishing their storm preparations.

Conditions in Cuba continue to improve. NWHHC has not yet received any damage reports from the Havana area.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the U.S. East Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida through Savannah, Georgia and now recommends a Hurricane Watch from Savannah to Cape Fear, North Carolina. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and for the entire Florida west coast south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Melbourne, Florida to Daytona beach and a Tropical Storm Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. There are also numerous severe weather and flood watches and warnings. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service for more information for your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 24.2N and 82.9W. This places the eye about 275 mile south of Tampa. The motion is to the north near 16 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, with a turn to the NNE this afternoon, bringing the eye about 5-10 miles south of Tampa. Any deviation to the north will bringing the most devastating part of the hurricane over the center of Tampa.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is now 969mb. Charley should become a major hurricane within the next couple of hours as it is showing signs of further intensification. Charley is currently expected to make landfall as a category 3 hurricane, which is capable of extensive to severe damage.

Next Update: 9 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

9 A.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #26

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Hurricane Charley has turned to the north and is accelerating toward the Florida Coast. Landfall is expected later this afternoon a few miles to the south of Tampa. However, any deviation to the north will bring the eye and the devestation over the center of Tampa. All storm preparations should have been completed by now and residents should be seeking shelter as conditions will continue to deteriorate. In Key West, there have been unconfirmed reports of wind gusts to 60 m.p.h.

Hurricane Charley also has the potential for a significant impact on the city of Orlando. Residents there also need to be finishing their storm preparations.

Conditions in Cuba continue to improve. However, a wind gust to 124 m.p.h. occurred just to the west of Havana.

Effects on land:
Florida Keys north and east of Marathon: Wind gusts of tropical storm force, isolated gusts may approach hurricane force in squalls.
Landfall zone: Complete devastation within 1 mile of the coast. Extensive damage inland. Winds may gust between 140 and 150 m.p.h. and tidal surges may reach 15 feet. If landfall is south of Tampa Bay, southern portions of the bay will be devastated, followed by eastern as the storm passes. To the north and south, winds will gust over 100 m.p.h., though regions to the south will experience tidal surges between 5 and 10 feet, while to the north significantly less.
Northeast Coast of Florida: Category 1 hurricane conditions are possible. Tidal flooding should be minor.
Further up the U.S. East Coast (Georgia and Carolinas): Strong gustu winds, possibly to hurricane force, along with minor tidal surges and heavy rainfall. Throughout the area: Locally heavy rainfall and the threat of isolated tornadoes.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the U.S. East Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida through Myrtle Beach, South Carolina and now recommends a Hurricane Watch from Savannah to Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and for the entire Florida west coast south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Melbourne, Florida to Daytona beach and a Tropical Storm Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. There are also numerous severe weather and flood watches and warnings. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service for more information for your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 24.7N and 82.9W. This places the eye about 240 miles south of Tampa. The motion is to the north near 16 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, with a turn to the NNE this afternoon, bringing the eye about 5-10 miles south of Tampa. Any deviation to the north will bringing the most devastating part of the hurricane over the center of Tampa.

Maximum winds remain near 110 m.p.h. The pressure is now 970mb. Charley should become a major hurricane within the next couple of hours as it is showing signs of further intensification. Charley is currently expected to make landfall as a category 3 hurricane, which is capable of extensive to severe damage.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #27

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Hurricane Charley is now a major hurricane. Recon data indicates that the winds have increased to near 120 m.p.h. Little change in intensity is expected prior to making landfall. However, a category 3 hurricane is capable of producing severe to extensive damage. Currently, winds are gusting over 50 m.p.h. at Key West and condiitons will rapidly deteriorate along the west coast of Florida this afternoon. Landfall is now expected near Tampa; however, the dangerous eastern eye wall may move along the coast all the way from Ft Myers to Tampa. Storm preparations must be complete now and residents reading this update need to immeidately seek shelter. Landfall is expected this evening, but conditions will soon deteriorate

Hurricane Charley also has the potential for a significant impact on the city of Orlando. Residents there also need to be finishing their storm preparations.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the U.S. East Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida through Myrtle Beach, South Carolina and now recommends a Hurricane Watch from Myrtle Beach to the North Carolina/Virginia Border. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the Florida Keys from Marathon to the Dry Tortugas and for the entire Florida west coast south of Yankeetown. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Melbourne, Florida to Daytona beach and a Tropical Storm Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. There are also numerous severe weather and flood watches and warnings. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service for more information for your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 25.1N and 82.7W. This places the eye about 210 miles south of Tampa. The motion is to the north near 18 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, with a turn to the NNE this afternoon, bringing the eye very near Tampa this evening, but near the coast farther south a few hours before.

Maximum winds have increased to near 120 m.p.h. The pressure is now 965mb. Little change in intensity is expected before landfall as atmospheric conditions and the proximity to land should limit the ability to intensify.

Next Update: 1 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

1 P.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #28

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Hurricane Charley has shifted its track and is now moving directly toward the Venice and Port Charlotte area. If you continue to fool around in these areas and play on the beach, your lives will likely be lost. Please move into a safe room immediately. Landfall will now occur in just a few hours somewhere between Venice and Port Charlotte. Severe todal flooding is also expected for Tampa as the region may experience the western eye wall of Charley.

Hurricane Charley also is expected to severely impact Orlando. Storm preparations need to be completed there by this evening.

The shift in the track to the east means Charley will likely spend more time than expected over the Atlantic Ocean. Residents along the U.S. East Coast need to have their storm preparations completed as soon as possible.

Effects on land:
Florida Keys north and east of Marathon: Wind gusts of tropical storm force, isolated gusts may approach hurricane force in squalls.
Landfall zone: Complete devastation within 1 mile of the coast. Extensive damage inland. Winds may gust between 140 and 150 m.p.h. and tidal surges may reach 15 feet. If landfall is south of Tampa Bay, southern portions of the bay will be devastated, followed by eastern as the storm passes. To the north and south, winds will gust over 100 m.p.h., though regions to the south will experience tidal surges between 5 and 10 feet, while to the north significantly less.
Northeast Coast of Florida: Category 1 hurricane conditions are possible. Tidal flooding should be minor.
Further up the U.S. East Coast (Georgia and Carolinas): Strong gusty winds, very possibly to hurricane force, along with minor to moderate tidal surges and heavy rainfall. Throughout the area: Locally heavy rainfall and the threat of isolated tornadoes.

NWHHC now recommends a Hurricane WARNING for the U.S. East Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida the North Carolina/Virginia Border. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the entire Florida west coast south of Yankeetown, but no longer for the Florida Keys. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Melbourne, Florida to Daytona beach and a Tropical Storm Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. There are also numerous severe weather and flood watches and warnings. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service for more information for your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 25.6N and 82.5W. This places the eye about 160 miles south of Tampa and only about 80 miles SW of FT Myers. The motion is to the north near 18 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, with a turn to the NNE this afternoon, bringing the eye very near Tampa this evening, but near the coast farther south a few hours before.

Maximum winds remain near 120 m.p.h. The pressure is now 964mb. Little change in intensity is expected before landfall as atmospheric conditions and the proximity to land should limit the ability to intensify. Weakening is expected while over Florida, though some re-intensification may occur over the Atlantic Ocean

Next Update: 3 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

1:30 P.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY EMERGENCY UPDATE #29

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Recon finds that Charley has intensified to near category 5 status. Winds are now 145 m.p.h. In order to live, you must cease the beach activity, in the Ft Myers through Venice area now. Complete devastation will soon be experienced near Port Charlotte over through Venice. Conditions are going to deteriorate very rapidly starting in a few minutes as Charley accelerates toward land.

Hurricane Charley also is expected to severely impact Orlando. Storm preparations need to be completed there by this evening.

Effects on land:
Florida Keys: Conditions are improving.
Landfall zone: Complete devastation within 3 mils of the coast. Extensive damage inland. Winds may gust between 160 and 170 m.p.h. and tidal surges may reach 20 feet. Where the eye makes landfall will be completely destroyed with severe damage near the area. Damage will extend well inland. To the north and south, winds will gust over 110 m.p.h., though regions to the south will experience tidal surges between 5 and 10 feet, while to the north significantly less.
Northeast Coast of Florida: Category 1 hurricane conditions are possible. Tidal flooding should be minor.
Further up the U.S. East Coast (Georgia and Carolinas): Strong gusty winds, very possibly to hurricane force, along with minor to moderate tidal surges and heavy rainfall. Throughout the area: Locally heavy rainfall and the threat of isolated tornadoes.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 25.9N and 82.3W. This places the eye just 55 miles SSE of FT Myers. The motion is to the NNE near 20 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, resulting in a devestating landfall in just 2 hours.

Maximum winds have increased to near 145 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 955mb. Any further intensification will result in a category 5 landfall. After weakening to a strong 1 or a weak 2, some re-intensification is possible over the Atlantic

Next Update: 3 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

3 P.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #30

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The eye wall is coming onshore. Reports are coming in indicating severe damage. The entire landfall zone is expected to be flattened, just north of Sanibel Island.

Hurricane Charley also is expected to severely impact Orlando. Storm preparations need to be completed there by this evening.

Effects on land:
Florida Keys: Conditions are improving.
Landfall zone: Complete devastation within 3 miles of the coast. Extensive damage inland. Winds may gust between 160 and 170 m.p.h. and tidal surges may reach 20 feet. Where the eye makes landfall will be completely destroyed with severe damage near the area. Damage will extend well inland. To the north and south, winds will gust over 110 m.p.h., though regions to the south will experience tidal surges between 5 and 10 feet, while to the north significantly less.
Northeast Coast of Florida: Category 1 hurricane conditions are possible. Tidal flooding should be minor.
Further up the U.S. East Coast (Georgia and Carolinas): Strong gusty winds, very possibly to hurricane force, along with minor to moderate tidal surges and heavy rainfall. Throughout the area: Locally heavy rainfall and the threat of isolated tornadoes.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 26.4N and 82.3W. This places the eye just 55 miles SSE of FT Myers. The motion is to the NNE near 20 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, resulting in a devestating landfall in a mere few minutes.

Maximum winds have increased to near 145 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 954mb. Any further intensification will result in a category 5 landfall. After weakening to a strong 1 or a weak 2, some re-intensification is possible over the Atlantic

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #31

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About an hour ago, Hurricane Charley made landfall with sustained winds estimated to be 150 m.p.h., just shy of category 5 intensity. Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte are being destroyed as the eye wall is located right over the area. This hurricane was much stronger than Hurricane Donna in 1960, which made landfall in a similar location.

Hurricane Charley also is expected to severely impact Orlando. Already, wind gusts well over tropical storm intensity have been recorded. Storm preparations should have been completed by now.

Hurricane Charley will move back into the Atlantic Ocean and threaten the Carolina coast tomorrow. Storm preparations need to be complete in the Carolinas by midday tomorrow.

Effects on land:
Landfall zone: Complete devastation is occurring near the Port Charlotte region. Northeast Coast of Florida: Category 1 hurricane conditions are possible. Tidal flooding should be minor.
Further up the U.S. East Coast (Georgia and Carolinas): Possible strong category 1 or weak category 2 hurricane. Moderate tidal flooding.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for the U.S. East Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida the North Carolina/Virginia Border and for the entire Florida west coast south of Tampa. NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane Watch from Melbourne, Florida to Daytona beach and a Tropical Storm Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. There are also numerous severe weather and flood watches and warnings. Click Here to access a local National Weather Service for more information for your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 26.9N and 82.2W. This places the eye over Port Charlotte. The motion is to the NNE near 22 m.p.h. and this track is expected to continue, resulting in a devestating landfall in a mere few minutes.

Maximum winds are near 140 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 941mb. Weakening to a category 1 is expected while over Florida to but reintensifcation into a category 2 is possible once in the Atlantic.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #32

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Hurricane Charley is cutting a swath of destruction across the state of Florida. Desoto County has been reporting the collapse of a shelter with hundreds of people along with widespread wind damage. There has been no word from the barrier islands; however, reports from Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte indicate the complete destruction to large portions of the city.

Charley is currently moving toward the city of Orlando, and should arrive with wind gusts well over 100 m.p.h. A direct hit is expected. Charley will then re-emerge into the Atlantic Ocean this evening near Daytona beach and begin to move toward the North Carolina/South Carolina Border. Landfall is expected in the Carolinas late tomorrow morning or early tomorrow afternoon.

NWHHC no longer recommends any watches or warnings for the west coast of Florida or Lake Okeechobee as conditions have subsided. NWHHC still recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Daytona Beach to the North Carolina/Virginia Border and a Hurricane Watch from Daytona Beach to Melbourne, Florida. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 28.1N and 81.6W. This places the eye about 35 miles SSW of Orlando. The motion is to the NNE near 27 m.p.h. This general track, with a further acceleration is expected, bringing the system offshore late tonight and into the Carolinas tomorrow.

Maximum winds have decreased and are now estimated to be 105 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 955mb. Continued weakening to a category 1 hurricane is expected until the system moves offshore. Once the storm mves offshore there may be some regeneration into a category 2 hurricane.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. EDT 8/13/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #32

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Hurricane Charley has brought wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. in the city of Orlando. There has been reports that the Orlando International Airport has been damaged. Charley is now about to emerge into the Atlantic and is bringing very strong winds to the Florida east coast. Some reintensification is expected before making landfall in the Carolinas tomorrow afternoon.

Damage reports are coming in from Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte. Parts of these cities resemble air raids as there is widespread structural damage to concrete structures. No photos are available from the barrier islands, but reports are of a 15 foot surge at Sanibel Island and that the island was completely devestated. Also massive casualties have been reported.

Those ordered to evacuate in the Carollinas must do so. The happenings in Florida demonstrate what happens when a hurricane warning is ignored or when preparations are not made for a landfall.

NWHHC recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Daytona Beach to the North Carolina/Virginia Border and a Hurricane Watch from Daytona Beach to Melbourne, Florida. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 29.1N and 81.1W. This places the eye about 10 miles SW of Daytona Beach. The motion is to the NNE near 27 m.p.h. This general track, with a further acceleration is expected, bringing the into the Carolinas tomorrow afternoon.

Maximum winds have decreased and are now estimated to be 80 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 975mb. Some reintensification is expected and Charley could become a category 2 hurricane prior to making landfall

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. EDT 8/14/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #34

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Hurricane Charley is back over the Atlantic Ocean and is moving toward South Carolina. Landfall is expected later this morning or early this afternoon near or just norrt of Charleston. Conditions are deteriorating and will continue to do so later this morning. The greatest threats are heavy rainfall, which could produce severe flooding as well as tidal surges up to 5 feet to the north and east of where the eye makes landfall

Those ordered to evacuate in the Carolinas must do so. The All storm preparations should have been completed now.

NWHHC recommends a Hurricane WARNING Savannhas, Georgia to the North Carolina/Virginia Border. NWHHC now recommend sa Tropical Storm Warning north of the NC/VA border to the Deleare Bay, including the Chesapeake. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 31.2N and 80.5W. This places the eye about 110 miles SSW of Charleston, South Carolina. The motion is to the NNE near 25 m.p.h. On this track, landfall will occur later this morning near or just north of Charleston.

Maximum winds are now between 85 and 90 m.p.h. The pressure is 994mb. There is still conme potential that this storm could become a category 2 hurricane before making landfall.

Next Update: 8 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 A.M. EDT 8/14/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #35

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Hurricane Charley is re-intensifying as it moves toward the South Carolina and North Carolina coastlines. Landfall is now expected near the North Carolina/South Carolina Border in a few hours and Charley could be a category 2 hurricane at the time if landfall. Conditions are already rapidly deteriorating along the coast; therefore, all storm preparations should have been completed by now.

The reports from the Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda area are horrific. CNN is reporting that 60 body bags have been requested by local emergency management in Punta Gorda for a mobile home park. Throughout the entire area all the way to Orlando and even to Daytona Beach, thousands of structures have been completely destroyed by winds that unofficially gusted to 180 m.p.h. There remains no report from the barrier islands.

NWHHC recommends a Hurricane WARNING Savannhas, Georgia to the the Delaware Bay, including the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point and a Tropical Storm Warning for the remainder of the Chesapeake Bay. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 32.0N and 80.0W. This places the eye about 120 miles SSW of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. The motion is to the NNE near 25 m.p.h. On this track, landfall will occur near the SC/NC border early this afternoon

Maximum winds are now 90 m.p.h. The pressure is 990mb. Some further intensification to a category 2 hurricane is possible before the storm mkaes landfall.

Next Update: 11 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 A.M. EDT 8/14/2004 HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE #36

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Hurricane Charley is making landfall near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Torrential rainfall and very strong winds are buffetting the region. Isolated tornadoes are also occurring. The strngest winds are well away from the eye to the east and should soon affect coastal North Carolina.

The reports from SW Florida keep getting worse. Captiva Island may have been cut in half by the storm surge. The number of dead cannot be confirmed, but by all accounts the number is going to be very high. Charley completely devestated the area all the way from Sanibel Island to Orlando.

NWHHC recommends a Hurricane WARNING from Charleston, South Carolina to the the Delaware Bay, including the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point and a Tropical Storm Warning for the remainder of the Chesapeake Bay. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 33.2N and 79.0W. This places the eye about 35 miles south of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, but the eye wall has been battering the area. The motion is to the NNE near 28 m.p.h. On this track, the eye will soon be onshore

Maximum winds are now 80 m.p.h. The pressure is 990mb. Some further intensification to a category 2 hurricane is possible before the storm mkaes landfall.

Next Update: 2 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

2 P.M. EDT 8/14/2004 TROPICAL CHARLEY UPDATE #37

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Hurricane Charley has weakened to a tropical storm as it continues to move inland, bringing strong gusty winds, torrential rainfall and flooding, and isolated tornadoes for North Carolina and Virginia.

NWHHC now recommends a Tropical Storm Warning from Cape Fear, North Carolina to Atlantic City, New Jersey. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Charley is located near 34.8N and 77.9W. This places the eye about 35 miles north of Wilmington, North Carolina, but the eye wall has been battering the area. The motion is to the NNE near 30 m.p.h. On this track, storm will be moving into Virginia in a few hours.

Maximum winds are now 60 m.p.h. The pressure is 995mb. Continued weakening is expected as the system moves inland and becomes extra-tropical.

Next Update: 5 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 P.M. EDT 8/14/2004 TROPICAL CHARLEY UPDATE #38

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Tropical Storm Charlie continues to weaken as it moves through northern North Carolina and into Virginia. Heavy rainfall along with isolated flooding are now the greatest threats, as well as isolated tornadoes.

Complete devestation occurred from Hurricane Charley as it made landfall near Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte. Arial damage photos of the barrier islands to the west of the above mentioned cities indicate severe wind damage to Sanibel Island, as well as an inlet created in Captiva Island.

NWHHC now recommends a Tropical Storm Warning from Cape Fear, North Carolina to Watch Hill, Rhode Island. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 36.0N and 77.0W This places the eye about 90 miles NNE of Wilmington, North Carolina. The motion is to the NNE near 30 m.p.h. On this track, storm will be moving into Virginia soon.

Maximum winds are now 50 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 997mb. Continued weakening is expected as the system moves inland and becomes extra-tropical.

Next Update: 8 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

8 P.M. EDT 8/14/2004 TROPICAL CHARLEY UPDATE #39

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Tropical Storm Charley begins to lose tropical characteristics as it moves up the U.S. East coast, bringing rain and wind to the affected area. Charley will spread into New England overnight and into tomorrow.

NWHHC now recommends a Tropical Storm Warning Virginia Beach to Watch Hill, RI. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 36.9N and 75.9W This places the eye near Virginia Beach. The motion is to the NE near 33 m.p.h. On this track, Charley will move just offshore and into New England.

Maximum winds are now 45 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1008mb. Continued weakening is expected as the system moves inland and becomes extra-tropical.

Next Update: 11 P.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

11 P.M. EDT 8/14/2004 TROPICAL CHARLEY UPDATE #40

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Tropical Storm Charley is bringing wind and rain to New Jersey and New York as it moves up the East Coast. However, tropical storm force winds should only be experienced on Long Island and points northward.

NWHHC now recommends a Tropical Storm Warning from New York City to Watch Hill, RI. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 37.9N and 74.9W This places the center about 30 miles SSE of Ocean City, Maryland.. The motion is to the NE near 33 m.p.h. On this track, Charley will move just offshore and into New England.

Maximum winds are now 40 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1008mb. Continued weakening is expected as the system moves inland and becomes extra-tropical.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

5 A.M. EDT 8/14/2004 TROPICAL CHARLEY UPDATE #41

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Tropical Storm Charley becomes extra-tropical as it makes landfall on Long Island. However, the wind and rain will continue to spread throughout New England during the day today.

NWHHC no longer recommends any watches and warnings. Please remember that these are only recommendations and that the official watches and warnings can be found at the Official Alerts Page or from local emergency management officials. Also, there are numerous tornado and flood watches and warnings. Click here to access a local National Weather Service office for more info on these threats in your area.

Currently, the center of Tropical Storm Charley is located near 40.8N and 73.0W This places the center near Farmingdale, New York. The motion is to the NE near 30 m.p.h. Charley will continue to move into New England this morning.

Maximum winds remain 40 m.p.h. The pressure is estimated to be 1012mb.

This is the final update on Charley

Forecaster: Ortt

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